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Drought in Washington

Every Washington year contains a guaranteed rainless stretch, so a brown hillside in August tells you nothing. Here is the real calendar, the current U.S. Drought Monitor categories by county, and live USGS river readings compared against each gauge's own record.

Jun to Aug normally brings Washington just 7.7 percent of its yearly precipitation
In moderate drought or worse
71.6%
At least abnormally dry
93.6%
Deepest category on record
D4
Yearly precipitation, Seattle
39.3 in
This week, from the agency

Where Washington stands in the U.S. Drought Monitor

Everything in the panel below is the U.S. Drought Monitor's own published area percentage for the week valid August 25, 2026, drawn here as numbers and as our own bars. The USDM is released Thursday mornings for conditions valid the preceding Tuesday, so this is a weekly product and this page is refreshed weekly to match it.

U.S. Drought Monitor, week valid August 25, 2026
71.6% of Washington is in moderate drought or worse, and 93.6% is at least abnormally dry.
No drought category 6.4%D0 Abnormally Dry 22%D1 Moderate Drought 46.6%D2 Severe Drought 22.7%D3 Extreme Drought 2.4%
CategoryShare of WashingtonAt this level or worse
D0 Abnormally Dry22%93.6%
D1 Moderate Drought46.6%71.6%
D2 Severe Drought22.7%25%
D3 Extreme Drought2.4%2.4%
D4 Exceptional Drought0%0%
Since last weekno changearea in D1 or worse, against the week valid August 18, 2026
Against a year agodown 28.4 pointssame measure, against August 26, 2025
DSCI193USDM's own Drought Severity and Coverage Index, 0 to 500, and 296 a year ago
Deepest on recordD438.1% of the state, week of August 3, 2021

30 of Washington's 39 counties carry some area in moderate drought or worse this week, and 38 carry some area at least abnormally dry.

Drought category percentages are published by the U.S. Drought Monitor, produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the U.S. Department of Agriculture, NOAA and NASA, and republished here as numbers with attribution. See the current map at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

Right now, from the agency

What 3 Washington rivers are doing today

Read live from waterservices.usgs.gov when this page loaded. For each gauge the panel shows the most recent daily mean discharge USGS published, and where that value sits inside USGS's own percentiles for the same calendar day over that gauge's full period of daily record. The comparison is arithmetic on two agency numbers, and a low reading at one gauge is not a statement about the state.

Live from the U.S. Geological Survey
3 reference streamgages in Washington

Reading current daily mean discharge from waterservices.usgs.gov.

Discharge and percentiles are the U.S. Geological Survey's own published values, read live in your browser when this page loaded and shown without adjustment. The percentile is USGS's comparison of today's daily mean against its record for this same calendar day at this same gauge. Most large American rivers are managed to some degree, so a reading is never a pure weather signal. Source: USGS Water Data for the Nation

A river reading is one link in a chain, and it is worth seeing the whole chain, because it is the reason a drought can be over on paper and still be a problem at the tap. USGS:

“When little or no rain falls, soils can dry out and plants can die. When rainfall is less than normal for several weeks, months, or years, the flow of streams and rivers declines, water levels in lakes and reservoirs fall, and the depth to water in wells increases. If dry weather persists and water-supply problems develop, the dry period can become a drought (Moreland, 1993).”

USGS Water Science School, Droughts: Things to Know

“The first evidence of drought usually is seen in records of rainfall. Within a short period of time, the amount of moisture in soils can begin to decrease. The effects of a drought on flow in streams and reservoirs may not be noticed for several weeks or months. Water levels in wells may not reflect a shortage of rainfall for a year or more after a drought begins (Moreland, 1993).”

USGS Water Science School, Droughts: Things to Know

The end of that chain is the part nobody can see. Where Washington households are on their own wells rather than a public system, the water level in the well is the last thing to fall and the last thing to come back:

“The water level in the aquifer that supplies a well does not always stay the same. Droughts, seasonal variations in rainfall, and pumping affect the height of the underground water levels. If a well is pumped at a faster rate than the aquifer around it is recharged by precipitation or other underground flow, then water levels in the well can be lowered.”

USGS Water Science School, Droughts: Things to Know

The lag runs in both directions, and it is the single most useful thing to know about river readings during a dry spell. A Washington river can look completely ordinary several weeks into a drought, and can still be running low weeks after the rain came back. Which gauges appear here is our choice, made once: active surface water sites with at least 30 years of daily record, filtered to drop canals, ditches and diversions, then spread across the state so all three are not on the same river. That filter does not make a river unregulated. Most large American rivers are managed to some degree, so treat a reading as a river measurement rather than as a pure weather signal.

The precipitation calendar

When Washington actually gets its water

Seattle takes 3 inches of its 39.3 inch annual total Jun to Aug, which is 7.7 percent of the year arriving in a quarter of it. A rainless July in Washington is not a drought signal. It is the calendar. What decides whether Washington is in a drought is whether the wet season delivered, and that question is answered months before anybody notices the ground going hard.

Monthly precipitation normals at Seattle, in inches, quoted from NOAA NCEI's published 1991 to 2020 U.S. Climate Normals. The shaded bars are the driest three consecutive months, Jun to Aug, which carry 7.7 percent of the year's 39.3 inch total. Picking that run out of NOAA's twelve published values is our arithmetic, not a NOAA product.
NOAA stationYearly normalWettest monthDriest monthDriest 3 monthsShare of the year
Seattle39.3 inNovember (6.3 in)July (0.6 in)Jun to Aug7.7%
Spokane16.5 inDecember (2.3 in)July (0.4 in)Jul to Sep8.9%
Yakima8 inDecember (1.4 in)July (0.2 in)Jul to Sep8%

Yearly and monthly normals are quoted from NOAA NCEI's published 1991 to 2020 U.S. Climate Normals for Washington's reference stations. The driest and wettest month and the driest three consecutive months are our own reductions of those twelve published values.

Wettest month

December

the highest monthly normal once NOAA's published values are averaged across 3 Washington reference stations.

Our reduction of NOAA normals

Driest month

July

on the same average. All 3 stations pick that month individually too. The driest three month run at Seattle is Jun to Aug.

Our reduction of NOAA normals

Wettest to driest station

31.3 in

between Seattle and Yakima. A statewide drought percentage hides this entirely.

NOAA annual normals
Boats moored far below the high water mark on a drawn down reservoir
A reservoir well below its high water mark. In a state with a real dry season, reservoir and snowpack storage is the whole game: the water that gets used in August fell in January, so the question is never how dry the summer looked. “Boats on Lake Oroville during the 2021 drought” by Frank Schulenburg, CC BY-SA 4.0
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How deep the Washington record goes

U.S. Drought Monitor, January 4, 2000 to now
100%
Worst week, D1 or worse
September 30, 2025
100%
Worst week, D2 or worse
October 6, 2015
84.6%
Worst week, D3 or worse
August 25, 2015
38.1%
Worst week, D4
August 3, 2021

Washington loses thirty inches of annual precipitation crossing the Cascades, and Yakima at eight inches a year sits within an inch of Phoenix. The state has declared drought in years with normal precipitation but a warm winter, because it is the snowpack that runs the Yakima Basin.

The scale everything else runs on

What D0 through D4 actually mean

The five category codes on this page are the U.S. Drought Monitor's, and they are the scale that federal disaster designations, many state drought plans, and a lot of utility and insurance triggers actually run on. The authoritative definitions live with the people who write them, at droughtmonitor.unl.edu. The short descriptions below are ours, written from scratch.

D0 Abnormally Dry
Not yet drought in USDM terms. This is the band on either end of a drought: soil drying out on the way in, or refilling on the way out.
D1 Moderate Drought
The first true drought category. Where most state agencies start paying attention and where voluntary conservation asks tend to begin.
D2 Severe Drought
Water supply and agriculture are both taking a measurable hit. Restrictions and USDA disaster designations cluster around here and worse.
D3 Extreme Drought
Uncommon anywhere. A state with a lot of area in D3 is having a year people will still be talking about in a decade.
D4 Exceptional Drought
The top of the scale, and rare. Several states have never recorded any D4 area at all since the record opened in 2000.

Category codes and names are the U.S. Drought Monitor's; the descriptions are ours.

One more distinction worth having, because it explains how Washington can be out of one kind of drought and deep in another at the same time. The National Weather Service names four kinds:

“Meteorological drought is based on the degree of dryness (rainfall deficit) and the length of the dry period.”

National Weather Service, Drought Safety

“Hydrologic drought is based on the impact of rainfall deficits on the water supply such as stream flow, reservoir and lake levels, and ground water table decline.”

National Weather Service, Drought Safety

“Agricultural drought is based on the impacts to agriculture by factors such as rainfall deficits, soil water deficits, reduced groundwater, or reservoir levels needed for irrigation.”

National Weather Service, Drought Safety

They move on different clocks. Rain fixes the meteorological one first, the agricultural one next, and the hydrologic one last, which is why reservoirs and wells are still recovering long after the lawns have gone green again.

Drought category percentages are published by the U.S. Drought Monitor, produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the U.S. Department of Agriculture, NOAA and NASA, and republished here as numbers with attribution. See the current map at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

Where these numbers come from

Where the Washington figures come from

Three sources, kept apart. The drought categories are the U.S. Drought Monitor's own published area percentages, produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the U.S. Department of Agriculture, NOAA and NASA, republished here as numbers with attribution and refreshed weekly. The precipitation figures are NOAA NCEI's published 1991 to 2020 climate normals; the driest month, the driest three month run and the state rollup are our own reductions of NOAA's twelve published monthly values and are labelled as ours every time they appear. The river readings are live from USGS.

The thing that is missing on purpose: there is no drought score, index or rating of ours anywhere on this site. USDM already publishes the category scale everyone uses and USGS already publishes streamflow percentiles, so a competing number of ours would add confusion and nothing else.

The USDM numbers are a committed weekly snapshot rather than a live read, and that is a constraint rather than a preference. The USDM data service sends no cross origin header, so a browser cannot read it at all; we verified that from a real browser session on this site's own origin rather than assuming it. Since the product itself is weekly, a weekly snapshot is exactly as current as the map it mirrors, and every panel on this page stamps the week it is showing. The river panel is genuinely live, because the USGS services are open.

This page is shaped by the data rather than by editorial taste. Washington is on the “dry season every year” shape because its driest three consecutive months are warm season months carrying under 15 percent of the year's precipitation. Those thresholds are judgements and are stated as judgements; each one sits in a real gap in the data rather than in the middle of a cluster, and the test suite fails the build if a data refresh closes one.

Sources: U.S. Drought Monitor, NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 U.S. Climate Normals, USGS Water Data for the Nation, and NOAA NIDIS drought.gov for the national picture and outlooks.

A note on what the USDM is, in our words rather than theirs. It is not a model output. A rotating group of authors builds each week's map by reconciling several drought indices with soil moisture, streamflow, snowpack and reservoir data and with reports from local observers, and the result is a judgement informed by all of it. That is a strength when you want a number that reflects conditions on the ground, and it is worth knowing when you are comparing one week to the next.

Our summary of information published by U.S. Drought Monitor

Standing dead conifers on a dry hillside after a prolonged drought
Trees killed during a prolonged drought. The slowest indicator of all: forest mortality shows up years after the dry years that caused it, long after the USDM map has gone back to white. “Hotter Droughts (25350313304)” — Nathan Stephenson, USGS – U.S. Geological Survey from Reston, VA, USA — Public domain
Common questions

Washington drought FAQ

Keep reading

What a dry year in Washington touches next

Drought in nearby states

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Drought category percentages are published by the U.S. Drought Monitor, produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the U.S. Department of Agriculture, NOAA and NASA, and are republished here as numbers with attribution; the map itself is at droughtmonitor.unl.edu. Precipitation normals are quoted from NOAA NCEI, and the monthly reductions are ours. River readings come live from the U.S. Geological Survey. National picture: drought in every state