
Frozen Pipes in Maryland
Baltimore typically sees its first night at or below 20 F around December 15 and its last around March 2. Here is the full window, the rest of the state, the worst stretch on record, and the next seven nights from the National Weather Service.
Typical 20 F season at Baltimore: December 15 to March 2Maryland's hard freeze season
1991-92 to 2020-21, BaltimoreMaryland reaches from tidewater to the Allegheny plateau, and Oakland in Garrett County gets nearly three times the hard freeze nights of Baltimore. Anyone who has driven Interstate 68 west in January has felt that gradient. It is the same state, the same building codes, and a different plumbing climate.
Cold across Maryland, station by station
A single state number would hide the thing that decides this: elevation, distance from water and whether the local terrain traps cold air move these figures further inside Maryland than a whole decade of warming does. Each row is one NOAA reference station, and every figure in the table is our own count from that station's daily minimum and maximum temperatures. NOAA publishes threshold day counts at 32 F and at 0 F and nothing at 20 F, so none of this is a quoted normal.
| Station | Nights 20 F or colder | Winters with one | First | Last | Days never above 32 F | Coldest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | 21 | 100% | December 15 | March 2 | 11 | -5 F |
| Hagerstown | 30 | 100% | November 28 | March 11 | 16 | -21 F |
| Oakland | 58 | 100% | November 10 | March 30 | 37 | -25 F |
Coldest station
nights a year at or below 20 F at Oakland, the most of this page's Maryland stations.
Our derivationMildest station
nights a year at Baltimore, which gets there in 100 percent of winters. Same state, same building codes, different exposure.
Our derivationLongest stretch that never thawed
at Oakland: consecutive days that were both at or below 20 F overnight and never above 32 F in the afternoon. That combination is what leaves an unheated space no chance to recover.
Our derivation
Maryland's hardest cold stretches since 1991
These are the most severe runs of consecutive nights at or below 20 F in each station's full daily record, ranked by how far below 20 F they went and for how long. The last column is the one that matters most: a day whose high never rose above freezing gives an unheated wall, attic or crawlspace no chance to warm back up.
The single worst on this page is 16 consecutive nights at Oakland beginning January 26, 2026, bottoming out at -23 F, and 15 of those days never rose above freezing at all.
| Station | Began | Nights at 20 F or colder | Coldest | Days never above 32 F |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | January 26, 2026 | 16 | -23 F | 15 |
| Oakland | February 11, 2015 | 20 | -15 F | 11 |
| Oakland | December 25, 2017 | 15 | -17 F | 13 |
| Hagerstown | January 14, 1994 | 10 | -21 F | 7 |
| Hagerstown | January 23, 2026 | 11 | -3 F | 10 |
| Hagerstown | January 15, 2004 | 20 | 2 F | 16 |
| Baltimore | January 14, 1994 | 10 | -5 F | 5 |
| Baltimore | December 27, 2017 | 13 | 1 F | 11 |
Tonight and the next seven nights in Maryland
Everything below is read live from api.weather.gov when this page loads and shown exactly as the issuing forecast office published it, with the office named. Each column in the seven night strip is one NIGHT, labelled for the evening it starts on in local time.
Checking api.weather.gov for active cold products.
Product text, issuing office, area and times are passed through exactly as the National Weather Service issued them. The five products queried here are the current ones: Extreme Cold Warning, Extreme Cold Watch, Cold Weather Advisory, Freeze Warning, Freeze Watch. Read . Source: api.weather.gov
Loading the National Weather Service gridpoint forecast.
Why 20 F is the threshold
Water freezes at 32 F. So why does every page on this subject, including this one, count nights at 20 F? Because a pipe inside a building is not at the outdoor air temperature, and 20 F is the outdoor figure the literature settled on as the point where interior plumbing starts to be at risk. This page follows that convention, and here is where it comes from.
Follow the 20 F figure back through the sources that repeat it and it lands on one 1996 research report from the Building Research Council at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, sponsored by an insurance research institute. The report is real, it is about exactly this, and it is catalogued in the university's repository. Its full text is not posted there, so the derivation of 20 F is not publicly available. It is the threshold the field converged on, and these pages count it so the figures stay comparable with everything else published.
The report's published abstract does establish two things that the popular retellings usually lose. First, the mechanism: bursting is caused by pressure building in trapped water between an ice blockage and a closed tap, not by ice pushing outward against the pipe wall. A pipe therefore often splits at a point that is not frozen. Second, the abstract states that the problem is more severe in the southern United States than in the northern United States, because protection measures there are less consistent. That is the argument these pages rest on, made by the primary source in 1996. The University of Illinois is not a federal agency and the repository record carries no reuse licence, so this block summarises the report rather than quoting it.
Our summary of information published by Gordon, J.R. (1996), An Investigation into Freezing and Bursting Water Pipes in Residential Construction, Building Research Council, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Here is the National Weather Service on the second half of that mechanism, which is the reason a dripping tap helps at all. It is not that moving water cannot freeze. It is that an open tap has somewhere for the pressure to go.
National Weather Service New York NY, Home Preparedness Tips for Prolonged Frigid Cold“Allow faucets to drip slowly to keep unheated pipes from freezing. Keeping them open relieves pressure that builds between the faucet and ice blockage.”
And here is the same agency on where in a building the problem actually turns up, which is not where most people look:
National Weather Service, Essential Tasks After it Warms Up“Water pipes on exterior walls and in places that are subject to cold, like in the basement, attic, and under kitchen cabinets, freeze most often. Water expands as it freezes, causing pipes to burst.”

Wind chill does not freeze pipes any colder
A wind chill of 25 below sounds like an emergency for plumbing, and in one narrow sense it is: wind strips heat off a cold pipe faster, so the pipe reaches the air temperature sooner. What it does not do is take the pipe below the air temperature. The National Weather Service says this plainly, and it is the single most useful sentence published about this subject:
National Weather Service, Cold Weather Frequently Asked Questions“The only effect wind chill has on inanimate objects, such as car radiators and water pipes, is to shorten the amount of time for the object to cool. The inanimate object will not cool below the actual air temperature. For example, if the temperature outside is -5°F and the wind chill temperature is -31°F, then your car's radiator will not drop lower than -5°F.”
So the number to watch for a building is the forecast air temperature, and the number to watch for a person outside is the wind chill. They answer different questions. The seven night strip above this section shows air temperature for exactly that reason.
National Weather Service, Cold Weather Frequently Asked Questions“The wind chill temperature is how cold people and animals feel when outside. Wind chill is based on the rate of heat loss from exposed skin caused by wind and cold.”
And the product names changed. On 1 October 2024 the National Weather Service retired five cold product names and replaced them. This matters more than a naming tidy up: any site or app still querying a retired name gets an empty result from the agency's feed, and an empty result renders as no alerts, which looks exactly like an all clear.
National Weather Service, NWS revises watch, warning and advisory products for cold“These changes seek to clarify that cold can be dangerous with or without wind, addressing a common misconception that extreme cold is only tied to colder temperatures when there is wind.”
One consequence worth knowing: the National Weather Service's own cold weather FAQ page still described advisory criteria under the old wind chill names when we read it in August 2026. Even the agency has pages that have not caught up, which is why the retired names are still everywhere.
What actually hurts people in a hard freeze
Before anything else: how people get hurt in these events
The ways a frozen pipe goes badly wrong for a person have almost nothing to do with plumbing. They are fire and carbon monoxide, and both spike during the power outages that come with severe cold. The federal agencies below say it best.
The U.S. Fire Administration: “Home portable heater fires were only 3% of all home heating fires annually for 2017-2019, but they accounted for 41% of fatal heating fires in homes.” (U.S. Fire Administration, Heating Fire Safety)
The Consumer Product Safety Commission: “Never use portable generators inside homes or garages, even if doors and windows are open.” (U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission, Carbon Monoxide Information Center)
FEMA: “Avoid carbon monoxide poisoning. Only use generators and grills outdoors and away from windows and never heat your home with a gas stovetop or oven.” (FEMA Ready.gov, Winter Weather)
Full winter guidance is at weather.gov/safety/cold and ready.gov/winter-weather. For a pipe that has already failed, the people to call are a licensed plumber and, if the water reaches wiring or a gas appliance, your utility.

How the Maryland figures are calculated
Derived from NOAA daily records. Nothing in the Maryland table is a published NOAA normal, because NOAA publishes none for these measures: its 1991-2020 normals give threshold day counts at 32 F and at 0 F, no date shaped cold variable, and nothing about how long a cold spell lasts. Every count here is computed from NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily daily minimum and maximum temperatures over the 30 winters from 1991-92 to 2020-21 and committed as a dated snapshot.
The rules are the same at every station. A hard freeze night is a night whose minimum reached 20 F or colder. An ice day is a day whose maximum never rose above 32 F. A winter runs July to June and counts only if at least 90 percent of its November through March nights reported; incomplete winters are excluded rather than filled in. Percentile dates are the 10th, 50th and 90th over the winters that qualified, and where the median lands on a winter with no hard freeze at all, no date is printed. Records and worst events use each station's full daily record, which runs back to 1991.
One data quality note. NOAA's daily summaries product carries a small number of unflagged impossible values, and three stations in this dataset have one: Mobile reports 41 below zero on 28 June 1999, Orlando reports 1 F on 31 July 2009, and Biloxi reports 0 F on 11 September 2002. All three are obviously instrument or transcription failures, and at stations where a hard freeze is rare a single bad value takes over the whole event ranking. Any hard freeze record or event dated June through September is dropped. That filter removes exactly those three values across all 148 stations, and it costs nothing at the high elevation stations whose ranked events all fall in deep winter.
What the record counts. It counts weather: no agency collects burst pipe counts for Maryland or anywhere else, and a station's record describes that station rather than any particular building. The page's shape follows its numbers: where a state's primary station averages 30 or more hard freeze nights a year the page leads with stretch length, where it gets there in fewer than 50 percent of winters the page leads with the record rather than a median date, and Maryland is on the countable shape.
Live conditions come from api.weather.gov, read in your browser at page load. Source: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily, a US Government work in the public domain. The February 2021 loss figures elsewhere on this site come from the Texas Department of Insurance loss compilation, which counted 510,772 claims for a single nine day event.

Maryland frozen pipes FAQ
The rest of Maryland's winter
Frozen pipes in nearby states
Every count on this page is our own derivation from NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily station observations over the 30 winters from 1991-92 to 2020-21. NOAA publishes no cold normal at 20 F, no cold date normal and no spell length normal. Live products come from the National Weather Service and are shown verbatim with the issuing office named. National picture: frozen pipes in every state