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North Dakota Fire Danger

Live National Weather Service fire weather for North Dakota, the federal record of what fire actually looks like here, and the page where North Dakota Department of Emergency Services publishes burn bans and permits.

Checking api.weather.gov for active fire weather products in North Dakota.
NWS fire weather zones
54
Fires NICC logged in 2025
430
Acres burned by lightning
1%

North Dakota in the federal fire record

NICC 2025, reported through SIT/209
430
fires reported in 2025
NICC’s count for this state
32,471
acres burned
about 76 acres per fire
87%
of ignitions were human caused
54 were lightning
1%
of acres came from lightning
one of 9 in the middle

North Dakota sits between the two national patterns. Every figure here is NICC’s, from the interagency Situation Report for calendar 2025. Those are last year’s totals, not today’s conditions.

Right now

What the National Weather Service has out in North Dakota

Today’s fire weather, the federal fire record, and where each state publishes its burn rules. Burn bans are issued county by county and change daily, so the current answer is on the state burn authority page linked from every state page here. Check that page before you light anything, whatever the fire weather panel shows.
Reading api.weather.gov for North Dakota...

The National Weather Service divides North Dakota into 54 fire weather zones, counted from api.weather.gov on 2026-09-02. Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches are issued against those zones rather than against counties or states, which is why a warning almost never covers the whole state and why the zone named in the product matters more than the state named on this page.

The burn question

Who decides whether you may burn in North Dakota

North Dakota reported 430 fires and 32,471 acres in 2025 from seven agencies, more reporting agencies than most plains states, and lightning accounted for only about 1 percent of the acres despite 54 lightning starts. North Dakota publishes a statewide fire danger map alongside the counties with restrictions in force, which is a more consolidated answer than most western plains states offer.

The federal record

How fire starts in North Dakota Fire Weather and Burn Rules

NICC publishes two cause columns for every state, human and lightning, for both ignitions and acres. Reading them together is the useful move, because the two rarely agree: a state can have almost every fire started by a person and still have most of its acreage burned by lightning, because lightning fires start in country nobody can reach quickly.

Ignitions
376 human 54 lightning
Acres burned
32,072 human 399 lightning

NICC Wildland Fire Summary and Statistics Annual Report 2025, Wildland Fires and Acres Burned by State and Agency. NICC’s counts and NICC’s cause attribution, reported through the interagency Situation Report, so fires that never entered that stream are not here.

Where these numbers come from, and what is missing. Every North Dakota figure here is from NICC’s state table, which NICC heads “Figures are from the SIT/209 Application”. That is the interagency Situation Report. A fire a local department handles and never reports through it is not counted.

Agencies that filed a North Dakota row for 2025: BIA, BLM, FS, FWS, NPS, OTHER, ST. ST is the state agency row, so North Dakota's figures include state protected land as well as federal and tribal.

North Dakota is one of 9 states in the middle group, where lightning is a real but minority ignition source. States land here for different reasons, and it is worth knowing which applies: some have a genuine mix of terrain, and some show a low lightning share mostly because of which agencies do and do not report into the federal stream.

NICC counts North Dakota in the Northern Rockies Geographic Area. That boundary does NOT follow the state line here. Coordination centre boundaries cut through several western states, so no single Geographic Area total describes this one and the state row above is the figure to use.

Fuel dryness

How dry North Dakota is, in the Drought Monitor’s own categories

96.6%
in D0 abnormally dry or worse
US Drought Monitor map for 2026-08-25
85.7%
in D1 moderate drought or worse
the threshold most state plans use
43.7%
in D2 severe drought or worse
where fuel moisture stops recovering overnight
232
Drought Severity and Coverage Index
0 to 500, the Monitor’s own summary number

Those are the US Drought Monitor’s categories and its percentages, republished as numbers with attribution and not recomputed here. Drought is the slow half of fire danger: it decides how much of the landscape is available to burn and how deep a fire can get into the duff. The fast half is the weather on the day, which is what a Red Flag Warning describes. A wet spring followed by a hot dry August is the combination that catches states out, because the spring grew the fuel and the August cured it.

The full weekly picture for this state, including the worst week on record since 2000, is on the North Dakota drought page.

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Reading a product

What a warning and a rating actually mean

Two different things get called fire danger and they come from different places. One is a National Weather Service product about the next day or two of weather. The other is a fire danger class, the Low to Extreme scale on the roadside sign, which comes from the National Fire Danger Rating System and is published by land management agencies including North Dakota Department of Emergency Services.

“NWS issues a Red Flag Warning, in conjunction with land management agencies, to alert land managers to an ongoing or imminent critical fire weather pattern. NWS issues a Red Flag Warning when fire conditions are ongoing or expected to occur shortly.”

NOAA National Weather Service, Understanding Wildfire Warnings, Watches and Behavior

“A Watch alerts land managers and the public that upcoming weather conditions could result in extensive wildland fire occurrence or extreme fire behavior. A watch means critical fire weather conditions are possible but not imminent or occurring.”

NOAA National Weather Service, Understanding Wildfire Warnings, Watches and Behavior

Neither is a law. Many states suspend burning permits automatically while a Red Flag Warning is in force, and where that happens it is the state’s rule rather than the warning’s. North Dakota Department of Emergency Services publishes what North Dakota does.

“A uniform fire danger rating system used in the United States that focuses on the environmental factors that impact the moisture content of fuels. Fire danger is rated daily over large administrative areas, such as national forests.”

NOAA National Weather Service Glossary, National Fire Danger Rating System

Two further things worth knowing before you read a product for North Dakota. First, the thresholds are local: a Red Flag Warning is issued against criteria agreed for each fire weather zone with the land management agencies, so 25 percent relative humidity is unremarkable in the Great Basin and alarming on the Gulf Coast. Second, a fire weather product and a Fire Warning are entirely different things.

“Red Flag criteria occurs whenever a geographical area has been in a dry spell for a week or two, or for a shorter period , if before spring green-up or after fall color, and the National Fire Danger Rating System (NFDRS) is high to extreme and the following forecast weather parameters are forecasted to be met: 1) a sustained wind average 15 mph or greater 2) relative humidity less than or equal to 25 percent and 3) a temperature of greater than 75 degrees F.”

NOAA National Weather Service Glossary, Red Flag Warning

The double space and the floating comma after "a shorter period" are in the published glossary entry and are left as found.

“This alert implies a wildfire likely to rage of out of control. If is often hard to predict these fires because such they behave erratically, sometimes dangerously.”

NOAA National Weather Service, Understanding Wildfire Warnings, Watches and Behavior

Transcribed exactly as published, typographical errors included, because this is the quote register and correcting an agency’s sentence is editing it.

In context

North Dakota against the other 49 states

Ordered by acres, which measures scale rather than danger: a state near the top may simply be large and remote, and a state near the bottom may have almost no agency reporting its fires. The dagger marks the five states in that second position.

Every state, ordered by the acres NICC reported burned in 2025. All figures are NICC’s from the interagency Situation Report: a record of the year, not a current status or a rating. The five states marked with a dagger have no state agency reporting into that stream.
StateFiresAcresHuman shareAcres by lightningNWS fire zonesPattern
Alaska4651,006,15847%100%120Lightning takes at least half the acres
California8,951505,00686%26%170Lightning is a real but minority source
Arizona1,626331,63870%84%29Lightning takes at least half the acres
Oregon2,734324,10652%51%43Lightning takes at least half the acres
Oklahoma2,530304,120100%0%82Almost every fire starts with a person
Colorado1,123255,97051%82%55Lightning takes at least half the acres
Nevada616253,61455%87%20Lightning takes at least half the acres
Washington1,874247,06880%65%39Lightning takes at least half the acres
Florida3,704233,64579%61%132Lightning takes at least half the acres
Wyoming584199,29052%86%43Lightning takes at least half the acres
Idaho1,498182,00559%57%20Lightning takes at least half the acres
New Mexico903179,38460%80%20Lightning takes at least half the acres
Utah1,093159,30666%33%21Lightning is a real but minority source
Texas5,829146,16597%3%293Almost every fire starts with a person
Missouri1,67198,737100%0%115Almost every fire starts with a person
Nebraska51196,68294%4%69Lightning is a real but minority source
Montana2,43275,83065%70%32Lightning takes at least half the acres
Mississippi1,81269,724100%1%82Almost every fire starts with a person
Virginia7,70959,661100%0%115Almost every fire starts with a person
South Dakota45852,79780%2%67Lightning is a real but minority source
Minnesota1,38151,416100%1%98Almost every fire starts with a person
North Carolina6,87242,011100%9%117Almost every fire starts with a person
Alabama1,86035,258100%0%71Almost every fire starts with a person
North Dakota43032,47187%1%54Lightning is a real but minority source
Georgia4,04830,688100%0%168Almost every fire starts with a person
New Jersey1,32327,328100%0%30Almost every fire starts with a person
Iowa3,17326,023100%0%99Almost every fire starts with a person
Kansas †3717,17595%6%105Almost every fire starts with a person
West Virginia85413,930100%0%68Almost every fire starts with a person
Louisiana86113,22999%19%88Lightning is a real but minority source
Kentucky †75812,937100%0%120Almost every fire starts with a person
Tennessee84212,64298%0%102Almost every fire starts with a person
Maryland1768,16894%0%30Lightning is a real but minority source
Arkansas †1926,68697%19%92Lightning is a real but minority source
Pennsylvania1,5465,509100%0%78Almost every fire starts with a person
Hawaii †93,29989%0%43Lightning is a real but minority source
Wisconsin1,2843,09899%1%74Almost every fire starts with a person
Michigan5161,29598%7%91Almost every fire starts with a person
Illinois401,284100%0%102Almost every fire starts with a person
Ohio5601,13499%0%89Almost every fire starts with a person
Massachusetts1,15892899%1%26Almost every fire starts with a person
New York20384196%1%14Almost every fire starts with a person
South Carolina †71760100%0%60Almost every fire starts with a person
Connecticut256548100%0%13Almost every fire starts with a person
Maine856515100%0%14Almost every fire starts with a person
New Hampshire15714697%1%6Almost every fire starts with a person
Delaware1582100%0%4Almost every fire starts with a person
Vermont1067096%1%9Almost every fire starts with a person
Rhode Island6266100%0%8Almost every fire starts with a person
Indiana3038100%0%95Almost every fire starts with a person
Common questions

North Dakota fire danger FAQ

Fire danger by state

Fire danger across the country, including what the National Preparedness Level is, why some states report almost no fires, and how much of the country burns on purpose every year.

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Live products on this page come from api.weather.gov and are reproduced in the issuing office’s own words. The North Dakota fire record comes from the NICC Wildland Fire Summary and Statistics Annual Report and the National Interagency Fire Center statistics pages, read 2026-09-03. Drought percentages are the US Drought Monitor’s. NICC counts North Dakota in the Northern Rockies Geographic Area. The North Dakota Department of Emergency Services link was checked on 2026-09-02. All figures are the agencies’ own. Check the state authority above for current burn bans and permits before you light anything.
NIFC licensing, verified from DOI’s own notice: “Generally, materials produced by federal agencies are in the public domain and may be reproduced without permission. However, not all materials appearing on this web site are in the public domain. Some materials have been donated or obtained from individuals or organizations and may be subject to restrictions on use.”
Hero image: “Rough Ridge Fire Smoke Columns” — National Wildfire Coordinating Group — Public domain