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Historical record · Wisconsin · 1851 to 2020

When Wisconsin Lakes Freeze Over: Ice In Dates

Wisconsin keeps more freeze-over records than the rest of the country put together. Seventeen of its water bodies carry one, two of them since the 1850s, and one of them is a stretch of Lake Superior whose freeze date is the day the last boat left the harbour.

17
Water bodies with a freeze record
40 or more recorded winters each
1,430
Recorded freezes
individual dates written down
1851
Oldest observation
Lake Monona
7
Century long records
spanning 100 winters or more

Dates from past winters. For today’s ice, ask the agency that manages the water.

Typical ice in on Lake Monona

December 15

That is the median across 166 recorded winters from 1851 to 2018, the deepest freeze record in Wisconsin. Across the 17 Wisconsin water bodies on this page the typical closing runs from November 15 on Maple Lake to January 9 on Lake Superior at Madeline Island. Each of those is a median from a record of past winters, not a forecast or an observation of any lake now.

December 24
Lake Monona across its last 30 recorded winters
55 days
Between the earliest and latest typical freeze in the state
8 of 8
Records long enough to state a century trend that show a later freeze
10
Winters with no freeze at all, on 4 of these water bodies

Every Wisconsin water body, in the order they close

Nov 1Dec 1Jan 1Feb 1Mar 1Maple LakeNov 15Mystery LakeNov 17Spruce LakeNov 19Lake ShishebogamaNov 22Lake EscanabaNov 25Lake NebishNov 27Lake WingraNov 30Shell LakeDec 2Big Muskellunge LakeDec 3Lake KegonsaDec 9Lake MononaDec 15Devils LakeDec 18Lake MendotaDec 20Lake Superior at BayfieldJan 1Lake GenevaJan 2Big Green LakeJan 9Lake Superior at Madeline IslandJan 9

Each bar runs from that water body's earliest recorded closing to its latest, across the whole Wisconsin record. The solid dot is the median over every recorded winter and the ring is the median over the most recent 30. The scale starts near the earliest date in the set rather than at January 1, because these are dates a few weeks apart.

Where this winter’s dates come from

The State Climatology Office at UW Madison publishes freeze-over date, thaw date and days of ice cover for the Madison lakes and updates them every winter. They hold the current winter; this page holds the long one, and the two will not always agree because the office computes its own comparison periods.

Wisconsin State Climatology Office lake ice tables

Today against the record

How this point in the season has usually played out

Where today sits in the Lake Monona record

Today is earlier in the ice season than any closing in this record. The earliest Lake Monona ever closed over in 166 recorded winters was November 23, in 1857, which is 35 days from now on this year’s calendar.

The median across the whole record is December 15, which is 57 days from now on this year’s calendar. The record itself ends in 2018, so this is a comparison against past winters and not a statement about the current one.

This counts recorded winters, not this one; the current winter comes from the agency linked above.

Lake Monona, recorded closings by winter

1979 to 2018, 40 winters, median Dec 15median Dec 151979: December 171980: December 211981: December 201983: January 91983: December 181984: December 251985: December 61986: December 131987: December 251988: December 301989: December 71990: December 231991: December 161992: December 251993: December 261995: January 51995: November 291996: December 211998: January 111998: December 302000: January 142000: December 142002: January 12002: December 92003: December 252004: December 252005: December 82007: January 182007: December 72008: December 172009: December 272010: December 92012: January 32012: January 12013: December 102014: December 22016: January 112016: December 172017: December 262018: December 111980199020002010
Taller means later in the season. The darker columns are the more recent half of the window. The dashed line is the median across the whole record, not just this window, and the vertical scale starts near the earliest date on the chart rather than at January 1 so that a three week shift stays visible. The source ships the most recent 40 observations here, so this window is the tail of a record that begins in 1851. 8 of these winters carry more than one closing, because the lake shut, a thaw opened it and it shut again, and the source keeps both rather than choosing.
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Water body by water body

The deepest Wisconsin freeze records

Ordered by how much record is behind them. The median is across every recorded winter; the second figure is across the most recent 30, which is the fairer thing to compare against a lake you know today.

Names are reproduced exactly as the source database records them, which is often a shortened form: a lake filed as “Detroit” or “Otsego” is Detroit Lake or Otsego Lake to everyone who lives on it. The names stay as recorded, because United States lakes split unpredictably between “Lake X” and “X Lake”; the subtitle on each card carries the water body type and the state.

Lake Monona

Lake in Wisconsin · 166 recorded winters, 1851 to 2018

Dec 15
typical ice in
Dec 24
last 30 recorded winters
Nov 23
earliest, 1857
Jan 30
latest, 1932

Across the whole record the closing date has moved 8 days later per century across the record.

Its ice out has moved 12 days earlier per century across the record, so adding the two lines together this lake’s ice season is about 20 days shorter per century.

1850sDec 101860sDec 81870sDec 151880sDec 121890sDec 171900sDec 131910sDec 161920sDec 151930sDec 191940sDec 151950sDec 181960sDec 221970sDec 171980sDec 211990sDec 242000sDec 232010sDec 20

Mean closing date per decade. Only decades with four or more observations appear, and the scale starts near the shortest bar rather than at January 1 so that small differences stay visible rather than collapsing into one length.

Lake Mendota

Lake in Wisconsin · 165 recorded winters, 1853 to 2018

Dec 20
typical ice in
Dec 27
last 30 recorded winters
Nov 24
earliest, 1880
Jan 30
latest, 1932

Across the whole record the closing date has moved 8 days later per century across the record.

Its ice out has moved 9 days earlier per century across the record, so adding the two lines together this lake’s ice season is about 17 days shorter per century.

1850sDec 101860sDec 131870sDec 181880sDec 161890sDec 231900sDec 221910sDec 221920sDec 181930sDec 221940sDec 231950sDec 221960sDec 211970sDec 201980sDec 241990sDec 262000sDec 302010sDec 30

Mean closing date per decade. Only decades with four or more observations appear, and the scale starts near the shortest bar rather than at January 1 so that small differences stay visible rather than collapsing into one length.

Lake Superior at Bayfield

Lake in Wisconsin · 153 recorded winters, 1858 to 20194 winters open

Jan 1
typical ice in
Jan 13
last 30 recorded winters
Dec 2
earliest, 1880
Mar 10
latest, 2002

Across the whole record the closing date has moved 15 days later per century across the record.

Its ice out has moved 16 days earlier per century across the record, so adding the two lines together this lake’s ice season is about 32 days shorter per century.

4 winters on record it never closed over at all, most recently the one ending in 2017. Those winters are counted separately from the 153 dates above.

1860sDec 241870sDec 221880sDec 251890sDec 291900sJan 21910sJan 21920sDec 241930sDec 271940sJan 31950sJan 31960sJan 21970sDec 311980sJan 51990sJan 92000sJan 292010sJan 17

Mean closing date per decade. Only decades with four or more observations appear, and the scale starts near the shortest bar rather than at January 1 so that small differences stay visible rather than collapsing into one length.

Lake Geneva

Lake in Wisconsin · 151 recorded winters, 1863 to 20194 winters open

Jan 2
typical ice in
Jan 12
last 30 recorded winters
Nov 24
earliest, 1880
Mar 11
latest, 1932

Across the whole record the closing date has moved 11 days later per century across the record.

Its ice out has moved 5 days earlier per century across the record, so adding the two lines together this lake’s ice season is about 17 days shorter per century.

4 winters on record it never closed over at all, most recently the one ending in 2017. Those winters are counted separately from the 151 dates above.

1860sDec 221870sDec 191880sDec 251890sDec 251900sJan 121910sJan 61920sJan 101930sJan 251940sJan 71950sDec 281960sDec 271970sDec 271980sDec 301990sDec 312000sJan 232010sJan 18

Mean closing date per decade. Only decades with four or more observations appear, and the scale starts near the shortest bar rather than at January 1 so that small differences stay visible rather than collapsing into one length.

A wall of shelf ice rising above a lake surface strewn with broken plates of new ice and patches of dark open water, under a blue sky with high cloud
Shelf ice standing above a field of broken new plates, with open water still showing between them. This is the state a lake is in for days or weeks before anybody writes a closing date against it, and it is why two observers standing on the same shore can pick two different days. “Ice along Lake Superior” — National Park Service, Pictured Rocks National Lakeshore — Public domain
Every record

All 17 Wisconsin water bodies with a freeze record

Water bodyRecordTypical ice inLast 30 wintersEarliestLatestChange per centuryWinters open
Maple Lake1952 to 2004 (53)Nov 15Nov 12Oct 31 1988Dec 13 1990record too short0
Mystery Lake1962 to 2018 (47)Nov 17Nov 20Nov 4 1991Dec 13 1998record too short0
Spruce Lake1962 to 2018 (51)Nov 19Nov 23Oct 25 1976Dec 13 1998record too short0
Lake Shishebogama1958 to 2001 (43)Nov 22Nov 22Nov 8 1991Dec 14 1998record too short0
Lake Escanaba1955 to 2018 (60)Nov 25Nov 28Nov 6 1973Dec 28 2015record too short0
Lake Nebish1959 to 2018 (50)Nov 27Nov 29Nov 8 1991Dec 28 2001record too short0
Lake Wingra1877 to 2019 (82)Nov 30Dec 4Nov 2 1913Dec 30 2015+6.6 days0
Shell Lake1905 to 2019 (112)Dec 2Dec 5Nov 2 1915Dec 25 2001+7.4 days0
Big Muskellunge Lake1947 to 2017 (51)Dec 3Dec 4Nov 12 1995Dec 27 2015record too short0
Lake Kegonsa1905 to 2006 (68)Dec 9Dec 12Nov 15 1959Dec 28 1927+1.3 days0
Lake Monona1851 to 2018 (166)Dec 15Dec 24Nov 23 1857Jan 30 1932+7.8 days0
Devils Lake1941 to 2004 (55)Dec 18Dec 23Nov 30 1959Jan 27 2003record too short0
Lake Mendota1853 to 2018 (165)Dec 20Dec 27Nov 24 1880Jan 30 1932+8.3 days0
Lake Superior at Bayfield1858 to 2019 (153)Jan 1Jan 13Dec 2 1880Mar 10 2002+15.4 days4
Lake Geneva1863 to 2019 (151)Jan 2Jan 12Nov 24 1880Mar 11 1932+11.1 days4
Big Green Lake1940 to 2020 (80)Jan 9Jan 14Dec 12 1995Feb 24 2006+16.9 days1
Lake Superior at Madeline Island1964 to 2007 (43)Jan 9Jan 11Dec 11 1976Mar 11 2002record too short1

Dates are day of year, rendered on a common non leap calendar so the same stored value always reads the same way. Freeze dates are stored on a winter axis, where a January closing sorts after a December one instead of jumping back to the start of the year; the labels above are ordinary calendar dates. “Change per century” is a least squares line through the observations, shown only where a record spans 80 years or more, because a century figure extrapolated from a 40 year window describes the decades that happened to be sampled rather than the lake. “Winters open” counts the winters the source marks as never closing over, which are observations rather than gaps and are not included in the record counts.

Both ends of the season

How much shorter the Wisconsin ice season has got

8 Wisconsin water bodies carry a least squares slope on both the freeze and the thaw, which is the only way to see the season from both ends at once. Adding one lake’s own freeze line to its own thaw line, the widest here is Lake Superior at Bayfield at 31.6 days shorter per century.

That is addition on two numbers the source data already publishes for that lake: a description of what one lake’s own record did across the years somebody was watching it, not a model and not a projection of what the next decade will do.

no change10d shorter20d shorter30d shorterLake Superior at Bayfield (WI)31.6d shorterBig Green Lake (WI)29.6d shorterLake Monona (WI)19.5d shorterLake Mendota (WI)17.2d shorterLake Geneva (WI)16.5d shorterLake Wingra (WI)14.3d shorterShell Lake (WI)12.1d shorterLake Kegonsa (WI)10.3d shorter
  • Freeze arriving later
  • Thaw arriving earlier

Each bar is one Wisconsin lake's own freeze line added to its own thaw line, both fitted by least squares to that lake's observations and both already published in the source data. Only records spanning 80 years or more on both variables appear, which is why not every water body in the table above is here.

Reading the record

What the Wisconsin freeze record shows

Of the 8 Wisconsin freeze records long enough to state a century trend, 8 show the closing date arriving later. Those are least squares lines fitted to observations, the same simple description the ice phenology literature uses. They describe what each record did. Any single lake can swing three or four weeks between consecutive winters, and several here have.

A typical ice in date is a median drawn from a record: the middle of a distribution whose ends, on these Wisconsin records, sit 90 days apart on Lake Superior at Madeline Island alone. It describes past winters, not the current one.

Lake Superior at Bayfield did not close over at all in 4 winters on record, which is 3 percent of the winters in its span, and the eight most recent of those ended in 1998, 2012, 2016, 2017. The source records those winters rather than leaving them blank, and this page keeps them, because dropping them and averaging only the winters the water did close would bias the record toward an earlier freeze. In Wisconsin that is the single most important thing the freeze record has to say.

The Wisconsin State Climatology Office treats the freezing date as the first date on which the majority of the lake surface is estimated to be frozen, and says on the same page that no reliable information about ice thickness is available for these lakes. Two of the Wisconsin series here use a working definition instead of an observed one: at Bayfield the freeze is dated by the last boat to leave the harbour, and at Madeline Island by the ferry route closing.

The freeze date somebody could actually see. On open water the size of Lake Superior nobody can watch a whole bay close over, so the Bayfield record uses the thing a harbour town could see from the dock: the last boat out in the winter and the first boat out in the spring. The database carries that definition in its own notes, and it is why the Bayfield series exists at all when the lake itself is too big to call.

Two lakes in one city, five days apart. Lake Monona and Lake Mendota sit either side of the Wisconsin isthmus and have been watched since the early 1850s. Monona is the smaller and shallower of the two and typically closes about five days before Mendota does, every winter, which is the clearest illustration in the whole dataset that depth and area set the freeze date rather than latitude.

Satellite view of Lake Superior in mid December with the surrounding land under snow, the open lake dark, and pale new ice showing in the shallow western bays
Lake Superior on December 15, with the first ice of that winter forming in the shallow western bays while the deep middle stays open. Depth is what sets a freeze date: a shallow bay gives up its summer heat in weeks and the deep middle can take all winter or never manage it. “Lake Superior (MODIS 2018-12-20)” — MODIS Land Rapid Response Team, NASA GSFC — Public domain
Provenance

Where these Wisconsin numbers came from

The observations

1,430 recorded closings across 17 Wisconsin water bodies, from 1851 to 2020. Only records with 40 or more usable observations are included, and every derived figure is computed from them.

Benson, B., Magnuson, J. and Sharma, S. (2000). Global Lake and River Ice Phenology Database. (G01377, Version 1). Boulder, Colorado USA. National Snow and Ice Data Center. https://doi.org/10.7265/N5W66HP8 Accessed 2026-08-24.

Lake Superior at Bayfield has the largest freeze shift of any Wisconsin record here, and its last four winters with no closing at all are 1998, 2012, 2016 and 2017.

Common questions

Wisconsin lake ice in FAQ

Rounded plates of new pancake ice packed across a lake surface with steam fog rising off the open water beyond and frost covered bare branches overhanging from above
Pancake ice on Big Green Lake in Wisconsin, photographed on December 27. Big Green typically closes over about a fortnight later, and it is the second widest closing season in this whole dataset. Plates of new ice grinding against each other and rounding their own edges is what the days before a freeze date look like. “Ice on Green Lake” by Wideshpan6, CC BY-SA 4.0
The other end of the season

Ice in, ice out, and the rest of the Wisconsin winter

Wisconsin ice inWhen 17 Wisconsin water bodies have typically closed over, from 1,430 recorded winters. You are on it.
Wisconsin ice outThe spring half of the same records, lake by lake, from the same source. Together they are the length of the Wisconsin ice season.

More Midwest states with a lake freeze record

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Ice in dates are historical observations compiled by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. They describe past winters only: a median freeze date is a record of winters that have already happened, and says nothing about the ice on any lake today. For current ice and for anything involving going out on it, contact Wisconsin DNR. National picture: every state with a lake freeze record → The thaw half: Wisconsin lake ice out dates.
Hero image: “Ice on Green Lake” by Wideshpan6, CC BY-SA 4.0