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Atlantic Flyway

Virginia Duck Migration Report 2026

Duck observations in Virginia usually climb from the week of Nov 2 and reach their fall high around the week of Nov 9, and the share stays that high into January; they stay above the halfway mark between their July level and that high through the week of Apr 6.

Week of Nov 9
Usual fall high in observations
2016 to 2025
Week of Nov 2
Usually climbing from
halfway up from the July level
469
Nearest count, Maryland
ducks, March 19, 2026; about 150 miles away
Atlantic
Flyway
freeze watch below
The agency counts

The nearest counts to Virginia on the Atlantic Flyway

The nearest agency counts on the Atlantic Flyway are in Maryland (about 150 miles away) and North Carolina (about 130 miles away), measured center to center, so read them as the flyway’s trend rather than a count of Virginia’s own birds.

Counted through the season

Blackwater National Wildlife Refuge Ground Waterfowl Survey

U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Blackwater National Wildlife Refuge · Maryland · about 150 miles from Virginia

Last season’s count, March 19, 2026
469 ducks
62 of them mallards
In the agency’s words
Winter 2026 ... 3/19/2026 ... Mallard MALL ... 62 ... total waterfowl ... 621 ... total duck ... 469
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Blackwater National Wildlife Refuge, March 19, 2026. Read it at the source

Ducks, geese, swans and other water birds on Blackwater NWR on Maryland's Eastern Shore, by species, from the ground, plus a January aerial survey

How often
Roughly weekly
Season
November to March
Highest published count
5,613 ducks, January 2026
Counted at
Blackwater, Barren Island, Bishops Head, Smith Island, South Marsh and Bloodsworth Island
Midwinter survey

Midwinter Aerial Waterfowl Survey, Mattamuskeet National Wildlife Refuge

U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Southeast Region National Wildlife Refuge System (Mattamuskeet National Wildlife Refuge) · North Carolina · about 130 miles from Virginia

Last published midwinter survey, January 2026
217,264 dabbling ducks
45,097 diving ducks
9,474 of them mallards
286,972 total waterfowl, the second highest of 61 Southeast refuges flown, led by an estimated 82,671 American wigeon and 52,298 northern pintail
USFWS estimate, corrected for birds missed from the air
In the agency’s words
Mattamuskeet NWR 217,264 45,097 9,663 14,948 0 286,972 286,972
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Southeast Region National Wildlife Refuge System (Mattamuskeet National Wildlife Refuge), January 6, 2026. Read it at the source

A January aerial survey of ducks, geese and swans on Mattamuskeet NWR and Lake Mattamuskeet in eastern North Carolina, reported as visibility corrected estimates by species and by guild, not raw counts

How often
One January aerial survey a year (Midwinter), published as a regional report the following spring
Season
January to January
Counted at
Open water transects (unit GX), Survey unit A, Survey unit B, Survey unit D, Survey unit E
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Observations this week

Virginia against a normal year

Observations this week in Virginia

Duck observations here usually reach their fall high around the week of Nov 9. Counting this week’s research grade observations.

Observations this week in the Atlantic Flyway

Duck observations here usually reach their fall high around the week of Nov 9. Counting this week’s research grade observations.

Which ducks come through Virginia, and when

Each row is one species’ share of Virginia bird observations by week from August to July, darkest at its high point, from research grade iNaturalist observations 2016 to 2025. The last column is the week each species first comes four fifths of the way from its July level to its August to December high.

SpeciesAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulUsual fall high
Mallarddabblingweek of Nov 9
Green-winged tealdabblingweek of Nov 16
Blue-winged tealdabblingweek of Aug 31
Northern pintaildabblingweek of Nov 30holds into winter
American wigeondabblingweek of Nov 9
Gadwalldabblingweek of Nov 9
Wood duckdabblingno fall rise; as common in summer
Canvasbackdivingweek of Dec 14holds into winter
Redheaddivingweek of Dec 21holds into winter
Lesser scaupdivingweek of Dec 14holds into winter
Greater scaupdivingweek of Dec 14holds into winter
Ring-necked duckdivingweek of Nov 23holds into winter
Buffleheaddivingweek of Dec 7
Common goldeneyedivingweek of Dec 14holds into winter
What moves the birds

Freeze watch up the Atlantic Flyway

When the shallow water at the northern staging areas locks up, dabbling ducks move south to open water. These are the National Weather Service seven day forecast lows there, with nights at or below 28°F marked.

Freeze watch on the Atlantic Flyway

Reading the seven day forecast lows at Presque Isle, Lake Champlain at Burlington, Watertown.

Two ring-necked ducks swimming in dark open water along the edge of a sheet of ice
Ring-necked ducks on the open water left at the ice edge, Lake Andes National Wildlife Refuge, South Dakota. When the shallow pools lock up, the birds that feed in them have to move. “Ring-Necked Duck in Winter Lake Andes National Wildlife Refuge South Dakota (54202161621)”, USFWS Mountain-Prairie (Liz Julian), Public domain

Virginia duck migration questions

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Duck migration in other states

Agency counts read up to October 8, 2026, each from the page linked on its card, and the agency’s own report is the one that governs. Observation curves from iNaturalist research grade records 2016 to 2025; this week’s figures and the forecast lows are read when the page opens. Every state is on the duck migration report.