Commerce City, Colorado, 5,484 students in 12 schools

Adams County School District 14 Snow Day Predictor

Q: How much snow does Commerce City get?

About 47.8 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 2.3 miles away, averaged over 8 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 3.8 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 1.8 with 4 inches or more.

Q: What was the biggest snow day near Adams?

17 inches on March 15, 2021, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 2.3 miles away in 8 winters. The snowiest winter was 2020 to 2021, with 81.7 inches.

Q: Does Adams get more snow days than other Colorado districts?

Adams averages 1.8 weekday mornings a winter with 4 inches of new snow or more, more than 71 percent of the 177 Colorado districts with a station record.

Q: How does the Adams snow day predictor work?

It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Commerce City through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Adams’s own big snow morning: 5.1 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 2.3 miles away.

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Adams, measured against Adams's own big snow morning of 5.1 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will Adams close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Commerce City.

Ten winters of school mornings

Adams’s snow record

47.8inches of snow a winter

3.8school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more

1.8with 4 in or more

5.1 ina big snow morning in Adams: the top tenth of snowy school mornings

More 4 inch school mornings than 71% of the 177 Colorado districts with a station record.

6.6Nov

3.8Dec

6.7Jan

11Feb

11.2Mar

Average snowfall by month, inches

Biggest day 17 in on March 15, 2021
Snowiest winter 2020 to 2021, 81.7 in
6 in mornings 0.9 a winter
1 in mornings 6.5 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 2.3 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

The Colorado rule

How Colorado counts a lost day

Colorado requires at least 160 days, with 1,080 scheduled hours in secondary school and 990 in elementary. The scheduled hours can drop to 1,056 (secondary), 968 (elementary), 870 (full-day kindergarten) or 435 (half-day kindergarten) to cover conferences, staff training and closings the board judges necessary for student health, safety or welfare.

The Colorado rules in the agency’s own words, and every Colorado district

Next door

Districts near Adams

District	Snow a winter	4 in mornings
Mapleton School District 1Denver	46 in	1.3
Denver County School District 1Denver	46.3 in	2
Westminster Public School DistrictWestminster	50.7 in	2.3
Adams 12 Five Star SchoolsThornton	51.1 in	1.6
Adams-Arapahoe School District 28JAurora	40.6 in	1.1
Cherry Creek School District 5Greenwood Village	43.3 in	1.7

The schools

12 schools

Every school in Adams follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

Adams City High School
Lester R Arnold High School

Middle

Kearney Middle School
Adams City Middle School

Elementary

Kemp Elementary School
Alsup Elementary School
Dupont Elementary School
Monaco Elementary School
Central Elementary School
Rose Hill Elementary School

Other schools

Stars Early Learning Center
Mildred L Sanville Preschool

Questions

Adams snow day questions

How much snow does Commerce City get?

What was the biggest snow day near Adams?

Does Adams get more snow days than other Colorado districts?

How does the Adams snow day predictor work?

How does Colorado handle snow days?

More winter

More for Colorado snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.Colorado winter forecastThe season ahead for Colorado: snowfall, cold and the first snow.

A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle — The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.