Grayling, Michigan, 1,629 students in 4 schools

Crawford AuSable Schools Snow Day Predictor

Q: How much snow does Grayling get?

About 81.2 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 4.1 miles away, averaged over 10 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 11.4 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 3.8 with 4 inches or more.

Q: What was the biggest snow day near Crawford AuSable?

12 inches on December 6, 2021, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 4.1 miles away in 10 winters. The snowiest winter was 2018 to 2019, with 101.5 inches.

Q: Does Crawford AuSable get more snow days than other Michigan districts?

Crawford AuSable averages 3.8 weekday mornings a winter with 4 inches of new snow or more, more than 90 percent of the 515 Michigan districts with a station record.

Q: How does the Crawford AuSable snow day predictor work?

It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Grayling through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Crawford AuSable’s own big snow morning: 4 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 4.1 miles away.

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Crawford AuSable, measured against Crawford AuSable's own big snow morning of 4 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will Crawford AuSable close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Grayling.

Ten winters of school mornings

Crawford AuSable’s snow record

81.2inches of snow a winter

11.4school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more

3.8with 4 in or more

4 ina big snow morning in Crawford AuSable: the top tenth of snowy school mornings

11.9school mornings a winter at 0 F or colder

More 4 inch school mornings than 90% of the 515 Michigan districts with a station record.

8.5Nov

22.3Dec

20.7Jan

16.6Feb

9.4Mar

Average snowfall by month, inches

Biggest day 12 in on December 6, 2021
Snowiest winter 2018 to 2019, 101.5 in
6 in mornings 0.9 a winter
1 in mornings 20.2 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 4.1 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

The Michigan rule

How Michigan counts a lost day

Michigan requires at least 180 days and 1,098 hours of pupil instruction. The first 6 days (or the same hours) lost to conditions outside the district's control, such as severe storms, are counted as instruction; up to 3 more can be approved by the State Superintendent.

The Michigan rules in the agency’s own words, and every Michigan district

Next door

Districts near Crawford AuSable

District	Snow a winter	4 in mornings
Kalkaska Public SchoolsKalkaska	129.2 in	5.5
Gaylord Community SchoolsGaylord	122.3 in	4.7
Houghton Lake Community School DistrictHoughton Lake	60.8 in	1.9
Lake City Area School DistrictLake City	61.3 in	1.4
Elk Rapids SchoolsElk Rapids	111.1 in	3.6
Boyne City Public SchoolsBoyne City	102.1 in	5.6

The schools

4 schools

Every school in Crawford AuSable follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

Grayling High School

Middle

Grayling Middle School

Elementary

Grayling Elementary School

Other schools

Great Lakes Online Education

Questions

Crawford AuSable snow day questions

How much snow does Grayling get?

What was the biggest snow day near Crawford AuSable?

Does Crawford AuSable get more snow days than other Michigan districts?

How does the Crawford AuSable snow day predictor work?

How does Michigan handle snow days?

More winter

More for Michigan snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.Michigan winter forecastThe season ahead for Michigan: snowfall, cold and the first snow.

A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle — The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.