Warren, Michigan, 2,034 students in 6 schools

Van Dyke Public Schools Snow Day Predictor

Q: How much snow does Warren get?

About 22.3 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 7.8 miles away, averaged over 10 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 2.9 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 0.9 with 4 inches or more.

Q: What was the biggest snow day near Van Dyke?

9.5 inches on November 12, 2019, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 7.8 miles away in 10 winters. The snowiest winter was 2017 to 2018, with 44.5 inches.

Q: How does the Van Dyke snow day predictor work?

It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Warren through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Van Dyke’s own big snow morning: 3.3 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 7.8 miles away.

Q: How far ahead does the Van Dyke snow day predictor look?

Three school mornings, as far as the National Weather Service hourly forecast reaches. Weekends and breaks are skipped, so a Friday storm is read for Monday’s buses.

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Van Dyke, measured against Van Dyke's own big snow morning of 3.3 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will Van Dyke close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Warren.

Ten winters of school mornings

Van Dyke’s snow record

22.3inches of snow a winter

2.9school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more

0.9with 4 in or more

3.3 ina big snow morning in Van Dyke: the top tenth of snowy school mornings

1.3school mornings a winter at 0 F or colder

2Nov

4.8Dec

7.2Jan

6.1Feb

2.1Mar

Average snowfall by month, inches

Biggest day 9.5 in on November 12, 2019
Snowiest winter 2017 to 2018, 44.5 in
6 in mornings 0.1 a winter
1 in mornings 5.9 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 7.8 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

The Michigan rule

How Michigan counts a lost day

Michigan requires at least 180 days and 1,098 hours of pupil instruction. The first 6 days (or the same hours) lost to conditions outside the district's control, such as severe storms, are counted as instruction; up to 3 more can be approved by the State Superintendent.

The Michigan rules in the agency’s own words, and every Michigan district

Next door

Districts near Van Dyke

District	Snow a winter	4 in mornings
Center Line Public SchoolsCenter Line	22.3 in	0.9
Warren Woods Public SchoolsWarren	22.3 in	0.9
Fitzgerald Public SchoolsWarren	22.3 in	0.9
Hazel Park City School DistrictHazel Park	23.5 in	0.9
Warren Consolidated SchoolsWarren	22.3 in	0.9
Eastpointe Community SchoolsEastpointe	22.3 in	0.9

The schools

6 schools

Every school in Van Dyke follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

Lincoln High School
Success Academy

Middle

Lincoln Middle School

Elementary

Lincoln Elementary School
Marjorie Carlson Elementary School
McKinley Elementary School

Questions

Van Dyke snow day questions

How much snow does Warren get?

What was the biggest snow day near Van Dyke?

How does the Van Dyke snow day predictor work?

How does Michigan handle snow days?

How far ahead does the Van Dyke snow day predictor look?

More winter

More for Michigan snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.Michigan winter forecastThe season ahead for Michigan: snowfall, cold and the first snow.

A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle — The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.