The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Wall Township, measured against Wall Township's own big snow morning of 3.3 inches.
The next three school mornings
Will Wall Township close tomorrow?
Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Wall.
Ten winters of school mornings
Wall Township’s snow record
16.1inches of snow a winter
1.8school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more
0.6with 4 in or more
3.3 ina big snow morning in Wall Township: the top tenth of snowy school mornings
0Nov
2.6Dec
7.1Jan
4.5Feb
1.9Mar
Average snowfall by month, inches
Biggest day 13 in on January 5, 2018
Snowiest winter 2017 to 2018, 44.1 in
6 in mornings 0.4 a winter
1 in mornings 2.6 a winter
Measured at a NOAA weather station 5.5 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.
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The New Jersey rule
How New Jersey counts a lost day
New Jersey requires at least 180 days of school, or the district loses state aid.
Every school in Wall Township follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.
High
Wall High School
Middle
Wall Intermediate School
Elementary
Central Elementary School
Old Mill Elementary School, Sea Girt
Allenwood Elementary School
West Belmar Elementary School
Other schools
Wall Primary School
Questions
Wall Township snow day questions
About 16.1 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 5.5 miles away, averaged over 10 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 1.8 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 0.6 with 4 inches or more.
13 inches on January 5, 2018, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 5.5 miles away in 10 winters. The snowiest winter was 2017 to 2018, with 44.1 inches.
It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Wall through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Wall Township’s own big snow morning: 3.3 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 5.5 miles away.
New Jersey requires at least 180 days of school, or the district loses state aid.
A virtual or remote day counts toward the 180 days only when schools close for more than three consecutive days because of a declared state of emergency, a declared public health emergency or a health agency directive, under a program the commissioner approved.
The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0
The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.