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Clintonville, New York, 1,168 students in 4 schools

AuSable Valley Central School District Snow Day Predictor

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in AuSable Valley, measured against AuSable Valley's own big snow morning of 5.1 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will AuSable Valley close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Clintonville.
Ten winters of school mornings

AuSable Valley’s snow record

76.3inches of snow a winter
5.1school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more
3.1with 4 in or more
5.1 ina big snow morning in AuSable Valley: the top tenth of snowy school mornings

More 4 inch school mornings than 64% of the 676 New York districts with a station record.

6.9Nov
13.7Dec
18.5Jan
20Feb
13.1Mar
Average snowfall by month, inches
  • Biggest day 23.4 in on March 15, 2017
  • Snowiest winter 2016 to 2017, 99.3 in
  • 6 in mornings 2 a winter
  • 1 in mornings 11.7 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 9 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

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The New York rule

How New York counts a lost day

New York requires 180 days of session plus 900 hours a year for kindergarten to grade 6 and 990 hours for grades 7 to 12. The Commissioner can excuse up to 5 days closed for extraordinary weather, but only if the district cannot make them up by using all its scheduled vacation days before the June Regents exams.

The New York rules in the agency’s own words, and every New York district

Next door

Districts near AuSable Valley

DistrictSnow a winter4 in mornings
Peru Central School DistrictPeru76.3 in3.1
Plattsburgh City School DistrictPlattsburgh76.3 in3.1
Saranac Central School DistrictDannemora76.3 in3.1
Beekmantown Central School DistrictWest Chazy76.3 in3.1
Saranac Lake Central School DistrictSaranac Lake133.5 in4.1
Northeastern Clinton Central School DistrictChamplain60.7 in2
The schools

4 schools

Every school in AuSable Valley follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

  • Ausable Valley High School

Middle

  • Ausable Valley Middle School

Elementary

  • Keeseville Primary School, Keeseville
  • Ausable Forks Elementary School, Au Sable Forks
Questions

AuSable Valley snow day questions

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More winter

More for New York snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.New York winter forecastThe season ahead for New York: snowfall, cold and the first snow.
A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle
The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.