Warwick, New York, 3,795 students in 4 schools

Warwick Valley Central School District Snow Day Predictor

Q: How much snow does Warwick get?

About 47.6 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 7.3 miles away, averaged over 10 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 4.6 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 2.3 with 4 inches or more.

Q: What was the biggest snow day near Warwick Valley?

20.6 inches on February 2, 2021, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 7.3 miles away in 10 winters. The snowiest winter was 2016 to 2017, with 68.5 inches.

Q: How does the Warwick Valley snow day predictor work?

It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Warwick through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Warwick Valley’s own big snow morning: 6.3 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 7.3 miles away.

Q: Can New York schools hold a remote day instead?

A district that would otherwise close for a storm may stay in session remotely under its emergency remote instruction plan, and that day counts toward the 180 days and the hours; districts are not required to do it.

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Warwick Valley, measured against Warwick Valley's own big snow morning of 6.3 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will Warwick Valley close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Warwick.

Ten winters of school mornings

Warwick Valley’s snow record

47.6inches of snow a winter

4.6school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more

2.3with 4 in or more

6.3 ina big snow morning in Warwick Valley: the top tenth of snowy school mornings

1.1school mornings a winter at 0 F or colder

3.4Nov

10.4Dec

11.6Jan

12.7Feb

7.5Mar

Average snowfall by month, inches

Biggest day 20.6 in on February 2, 2021
Snowiest winter 2016 to 2017, 68.5 in
6 in mornings 1.4 a winter
1 in mornings 7 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 7.3 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

The New York rule

How New York counts a lost day

New York requires 180 days of session plus 900 hours a year for kindergarten to grade 6 and 990 hours for grades 7 to 12. The Commissioner can excuse up to 5 days closed for extraordinary weather, but only if the district cannot make them up by using all its scheduled vacation days before the June Regents exams.

The New York rules in the agency’s own words, and every New York district

Next door

Districts near Warwick Valley

District	Snow a winter	4 in mornings	Built in days
Goshen Central School DistrictGoshen	47.6 in	2.3
Minisink Valley Central School DistrictSlate Hill	39.8 in	3
Middletown City School DistrictMiddletown	39.8 in	3	5
Suffern Central School DistrictHillburn	24.1 in	1.8
Monroe-Woodbury Central School DistrictCentral Valley	28.3 in	1.6	5
Washingtonville Central School DistrictWashingtonville	28.3 in	1.6

The schools

4 schools

Every school in Warwick Valley follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

Warwick Valley High School

Middle

Warwick Valley Middle School

Elementary

Sanfordville Elementary School
Park Avenue Elementary School

Questions

Warwick Valley snow day questions

How much snow does Warwick get?

What was the biggest snow day near Warwick Valley?

How does the Warwick Valley snow day predictor work?

How does New York handle snow days?

Can New York schools hold a remote day instead?

More winter

More for New York snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.New York winter forecastThe season ahead for New York: snowfall, cold and the first snow.

A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle — The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.