Denver, Pennsylvania, 2,898 students in 5 schools

Cocalico School District Snow Day Predictor

Q: How much snow does Denver get?

About 17.7 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 8.5 miles away, averaged over 7 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 2.3 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 0.9 with 4 inches or more.

Q: What was the biggest snow day near Cocalico?

11 inches on February 2, 2021, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 8.5 miles away in 7 winters. The snowiest winter was 2020 to 2021, with 35.4 inches.

Q: How does the Cocalico snow day predictor work?

It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Denver through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Cocalico’s own big snow morning: 4.8 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 8.5 miles away.

Q: Can Pennsylvania schools hold a remote day instead?

A district with a PDE accepted plan can turn up to five closure days a year, including snow days, into Flexible Instructional Days that count as school days; they can be online, offline or both.

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Cocalico, measured against Cocalico's own big snow morning of 4.8 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will Cocalico close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Denver.

Ten winters of school mornings

Cocalico’s snow record

17.7inches of snow a winter

2.3school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more

0.9with 4 in or more

4.8 ina big snow morning in Cocalico: the top tenth of snowy school mornings

0.1Nov

1.9Dec

6Jan

6.8Feb

2.8Mar

Average snowfall by month, inches

Biggest day 11 in on February 2, 2021
Snowiest winter 2020 to 2021, 35.4 in
6 in mornings 0.4 a winter
1 in mornings 3 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 8.5 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

The Pennsylvania rule

How Pennsylvania counts a lost day

Pennsylvania requires either 180 days, or hours: 900 for kindergarten through grade 6 and 990 for grades 7 to 12, as the district chooses. The state forgives no days; districts are expected to build make-up days into the calendar for closures beyond any Flexible Instructional Days.

The Pennsylvania rules in the agency’s own words, and every Pennsylvania district

Next door

Districts near Cocalico

District	Snow a winter	4 in mornings	Built in days
Ephrata Area School DistrictEphrata	23 in	0.9
Conrad Weiser Area School DistrictRobesonia	21.8 in	0.9
Eastern Lancaster County School DistrictNew Holland	23 in	0.9
Warwick School DistrictLititz	21.9 in	1.1
Eastern Lebanon County School DistrictMyerstown	21.5 in	0.9
Wilson School DistrictWest Lawn	21.8 in	0.9	6

The schools

5 schools

Every school in Cocalico follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

Cocalico SHS

Middle

Cocalico MS

Elementary

Denver El Sch
Adamstown El Sch, Adamstown
Reamstown El Sch, Reamstown

Questions

Cocalico snow day questions

How much snow does Denver get?

What was the biggest snow day near Cocalico?

How does the Cocalico snow day predictor work?

How does Pennsylvania handle snow days?

Can Pennsylvania schools hold a remote day instead?

More winter

More for Pennsylvania snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.Pennsylvania winter forecastThe season ahead for Pennsylvania: snowfall, cold and the first snow.

A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle — The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.