Elizabethtown, Pennsylvania, 3,640 students in 5 schools

Elizabethtown Area School District Snow Day Predictor

Q: How much snow does Elizabethtown get?

About 25 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 9.1 miles away, averaged over 8 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 2.9 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 1.6 with 4 inches or more.

Q: What was the biggest snow day near Elizabethtown?

12.7 inches on March 14, 2017, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 9.1 miles away in 8 winters. The snowiest winter was 2017 to 2018, with 41.4 inches.

Q: Does Elizabethtown get more snow days than other Pennsylvania districts?

Elizabethtown averages 1.6 weekday mornings a winter with 4 inches of new snow or more, more than 81 percent of the 490 Pennsylvania districts with a station record.

Q: How does the Elizabethtown snow day predictor work?

It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Elizabethtown through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Elizabethtown’s own big snow morning: 5.9 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 9.1 miles away.

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Elizabethtown, measured against Elizabethtown's own big snow morning of 5.9 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will Elizabethtown close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Elizabethtown.

Ten winters of school mornings

Elizabethtown’s snow record

25inches of snow a winter

2.9school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more

1.6with 4 in or more

5.9 ina big snow morning in Elizabethtown: the top tenth of snowy school mornings

More 4 inch school mornings than 81% of the 490 Pennsylvania districts with a station record.

1.1Nov

4Dec

6.8Jan

6.8Feb

6.1Mar

Average snowfall by month, inches

Biggest day 12.7 in on March 14, 2017
Snowiest winter 2017 to 2018, 41.4 in
6 in mornings 0.9 a winter
1 in mornings 4.5 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 9.1 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

The Pennsylvania rule

How Pennsylvania counts a lost day

Pennsylvania requires either 180 days, or hours: 900 for kindergarten through grade 6 and 990 for grades 7 to 12, as the district chooses. The state forgives no days; districts are expected to build make-up days into the calendar for closures beyond any Flexible Instructional Days.

The Pennsylvania rules in the agency’s own words, and every Pennsylvania district

Next door

Districts near Elizabethtown

District	Snow a winter	4 in mornings
Donegal School DistrictMount Joy	21.9 in	1.1
Middletown Area School DistrictMiddletown	22.4 in	0.7
Derry Township School DistrictHershey	22.4 in	0.7
Lower Dauphin School DistrictHummelstown	22.4 in	0.7
Columbia Borough School DistrictColumbia	21.9 in	1.1
Northeastern York School DistrictManchester	25 in	1.6

The schools

5 schools

Every school in Elizabethtown follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

Elizabethtown Area SHS

Middle

Elizabethtown Area MS

Elementary

Bear Creek School
East High Street El Sch
Bainbridge El Sch, Bainbridge

Questions

Elizabethtown snow day questions

How much snow does Elizabethtown get?

What was the biggest snow day near Elizabethtown?

Does Elizabethtown get more snow days than other Pennsylvania districts?

How does the Elizabethtown snow day predictor work?

How does Pennsylvania handle snow days?

More winter

More for Pennsylvania snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.Pennsylvania winter forecastThe season ahead for Pennsylvania: snowfall, cold and the first snow.

A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle — The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.