Atglen, Pennsylvania, 1,998 students in 4 schools

Octorara Area School District Snow Day Predictor

Q: How much snow does Atglen get?

About 18.7 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 10.5 miles away, averaged over 7 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 2.1 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 0.4 with 4 inches or more.

Q: What was the biggest snow day near Octorara?

7 inches on March 14, 2017, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 10.5 miles away in 7 winters. The snowiest winter was 2017 to 2018, with 33.4 inches.

Q: How does the Octorara snow day predictor work?

It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Atglen through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Octorara’s own big snow morning: 3.5 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 10.5 miles away.

Q: Can Pennsylvania schools hold a remote day instead?

A district with a PDE accepted plan can turn up to five closure days a year, including snow days, into Flexible Instructional Days that count as school days; they can be online, offline or both.

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Octorara, measured against Octorara's own big snow morning of 3.5 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will Octorara close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Atglen.

Ten winters of school mornings

Octorara’s snow record

18.7inches of snow a winter

2.1school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more

0.4with 4 in or more

3.5 ina big snow morning in Octorara: the top tenth of snowy school mornings

1school mornings a winter at 0 F or colder

0.7Nov

3Dec

6.1Jan

4.5Feb

4.2Mar

Average snowfall by month, inches

Biggest day 7 in on March 14, 2017
Snowiest winter 2017 to 2018, 33.4 in
6 in mornings 0.3 a winter
1 in mornings 3.7 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 10.5 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

The Pennsylvania rule

How Pennsylvania counts a lost day

Pennsylvania requires either 180 days, or hours: 900 for kindergarten through grade 6 and 990 for grades 7 to 12, as the district chooses. The state forgives no days; districts are expected to build make-up days into the calendar for closures beyond any Flexible Instructional Days.

The Pennsylvania rules in the agency’s own words, and every Pennsylvania district

Next door

Districts near Octorara

District	Snow a winter	4 in mornings
Oxford Area School DistrictOxford	18.7 in	0.4
Pequea Valley School DistrictKinzers	23 in	0.9
Avon Grove School DistrictWest Grove	18.7 in	0.4
Coatesville Area School DistrictThorndale	17.8 in	0.9
Solanco School DistrictQuarryville	18.7 in	0.4
Unionville-Chadds Ford School DistrictKennett Square	3.6 in	0

The schools

4 schools

Every school in Octorara follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

Octorara Area JSHS

Middle

Octorara Intermediate Sch

Elementary

Octorara Primary LC
Octorara El Sch

Questions

Octorara snow day questions

How much snow does Atglen get?

What was the biggest snow day near Octorara?

How does the Octorara snow day predictor work?

How does Pennsylvania handle snow days?

Can Pennsylvania schools hold a remote day instead?

More winter

More for Pennsylvania snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.Pennsylvania winter forecastThe season ahead for Pennsylvania: snowfall, cold and the first snow.

A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle — The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.