Fayetteville, Tennessee, 3,930 students in 8 schools

Lincoln County School District Snow Day Predictor

Q: How much snow does Fayetteville get?

About 2.1 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 1.9 miles away, averaged over 9 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 0.4 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 0.2 with 4 inches or more.

Q: What was the biggest snow day near Lincoln?

5 inches on January 15, 2024, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 1.9 miles away in 9 winters. The snowiest winter was 2021 to 2022, with 5.7 inches.

Q: Does Lincoln get more snow days than other Tennessee districts?

Lincoln averages 0.2 weekday mornings a winter with 4 inches of new snow or more, more than 60 percent of the 106 Tennessee districts with a station record.

Q: How does the Lincoln snow day predictor work?

It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Fayetteville through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Lincoln’s own big snow morning: 4.6 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 1.9 miles away.

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Lincoln, measured against Lincoln's own big snow morning of 4.6 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will Lincoln close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Fayetteville.

Ten winters of school mornings

Lincoln’s snow record

2.1inches of snow a winter

0.4school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more

0.2with 4 in or more

4.6 ina big snow morning in Lincoln: the top tenth of snowy school mornings

0.2school mornings a winter at 0 F or colder

More 4 inch school mornings than 60% of the 106 Tennessee districts with a station record.

0Nov

0.1Dec

1.7Jan

0.4Feb

0Mar

Average snowfall by month, inches

Biggest day 5 in on January 15, 2024
Snowiest winter 2021 to 2022, 5.7 in
6 in mornings 0 a winter
1 in mornings 0.4 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 1.9 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

The Tennessee rule

How Tennessee counts a lost day

Tennessee requires at least 180 days of classroom instruction, with a 6.5 hour instructional day. A district that runs a half hour longer than the required 6.5 hour day all year banks the extra time as up to 13 stockpile days, which can cover days lost to dangerous or extreme weather.

The Tennessee rules in the agency’s own words, and every Tennessee district

Next door

Districts near Lincoln

District	Snow a winter	4 in mornings	Built in days
Bedford County School DistrictShelbyville	3.1 in	0.3
Tullahoma City School DistrictTullahoma	3.1 in	0.3
Franklin County School DistrictWinchester	3.7 in	0.1
Giles County School DistrictPulaski	2.7 in	0.2
Coffee County School DistrictManchester	3.1 in	0.3
Maury County School DistrictColumbia			8

The schools

8 schools

Every school in Lincoln follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

Lincoln County High School

Elementary

Highland Rim School
South Lincoln School
Flintville School, Flintville
Unity School, Petersburg
Blanche School, Taft

Other schools

Lincoln Central Academy
Lincoln Central Virtual Academy

Questions

Lincoln snow day questions

How much snow does Fayetteville get?

What was the biggest snow day near Lincoln?

Does Lincoln get more snow days than other Tennessee districts?

How does the Lincoln snow day predictor work?

How does Tennessee handle snow days?

More winter

More for Tennessee snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.Tennessee winter forecastThe season ahead for Tennessee: snowfall, cold and the first snow.

A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle — The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.