Bowling Green, Virginia, 4,562 students in 5 schools

Caroline County Public Schools Snow Day Predictor

Q: How much snow does Bowling Green get?

About 6.3 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 11.5 miles away, averaged over 7 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 1.3 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 0.4 with 4 inches or more.

Q: What was the biggest snow day near Caroline?

6.7 inches on February 12, 2025, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 11.5 miles away in 7 winters. The snowiest winter was 2024 to 2025, with 15.7 inches.

Q: Does Caroline get more snow days than other Virginia districts?

Caroline averages 0.4 weekday mornings a winter with 4 inches of new snow or more, more than 50 percent of the 116 Virginia districts with a station record.

Q: How does the Caroline snow day predictor work?

It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Bowling Green through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Caroline’s own big snow morning: 4.1 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 11.5 miles away.

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Caroline, measured against Caroline's own big snow morning of 4.1 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will Caroline close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Bowling Green.

Ten winters of school mornings

Caroline’s snow record

6.3inches of snow a winter

1.3school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more

0.4with 4 in or more

4.1 ina big snow morning in Caroline: the top tenth of snowy school mornings

0school mornings a winter at 0 F or colder

More 4 inch school mornings than 50% of the 116 Virginia districts with a station record.

0Nov

0.5Dec

2.5Jan

3Feb

0.3Mar

Average snowfall by month, inches

Biggest day 6.7 in on February 12, 2025
Snowiest winter 2024 to 2025, 15.7 in
6 in mornings 0.1 a winter
1 in mornings 1.9 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 11.5 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

The Virginia rule

How Virginia counts a lost day

Virginia requires at least 180 teaching days or 990 teaching hours, or state aid is reduced. After 5 closures, only one of every two further days must be made up; the Board of Education can also waive make-up when every reasonable effort is exhausted.

The Virginia rules in the agency’s own words, and every Virginia district

Next door

Districts near Caroline

District	Snow a winter	4 in mornings
Spotsylvania County Public SchoolsFredericksburg	6.3 in	0.4
King George County Public SchoolsKing George	9 in	0.5
Fredericksburg City Public SchoolsFredericksburg	9 in	0.5
Hanover County Public SchoolsAshland	10.9 in	0.5
Stafford County Public SchoolsStafford	9 in	0.5
Louisa County Public SchoolsMineral	10.6 in	0.4

The schools

5 schools

Every school in Caroline follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

Caroline High, Milford

Middle

Caroline Middle, Milford

Elementary

Lewis and Clark Elementary, Ruther Glen
Bowling Green Elementary, Milford
Madison Elementary, Ruther Glen

Questions

Caroline snow day questions

How much snow does Bowling Green get?

What was the biggest snow day near Caroline?

Does Caroline get more snow days than other Virginia districts?

How does the Caroline snow day predictor work?

How does Virginia handle snow days?

More winter

More for Virginia snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.Virginia winter forecastThe season ahead for Virginia: snowfall, cold and the first snow.

A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle — The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.