The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Arcadia, measured against Arcadia's own big snow morning of 4.3 inches.
The next three school mornings
Will Arcadia close tomorrow?
Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Arcadia.
Ten winters of school mornings
Arcadia’s snow record
36.8inches of snow a winter
4.8school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more
1.6with 4 in or more
4.3 ina big snow morning in Arcadia: the top tenth of snowy school mornings
14.3school mornings a winter at 0 F or colder
1.6Nov
7.6Dec
9.2Jan
9.8Feb
5.3Mar
Average snowfall by month, inches
Biggest day 12.5 in on February 24, 2019
Snowiest winter 2018 to 2019, 73.5 in
6 in mornings 0.5 a winter
1 in mornings 7.5 a winter
Measured at a NOAA weather station 14 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.
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The Wisconsin rule
How Wisconsin counts a lost day
Wisconsin requires hours, not days: 437 for kindergarten, 1,050 for grades 1 to 6 and 1,137 for grades 7 to 12.
Every school in Arcadia follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.
High
Arcadia High
Middle
Arcadia Middle
Elementary
Arcadia Elementary
Questions
Arcadia snow day questions
About 36.8 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 14 miles away, averaged over 10 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 4.8 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 1.6 with 4 inches or more.
12.5 inches on February 24, 2019, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 14 miles away in 10 winters. The snowiest winter was 2018 to 2019, with 73.5 inches.
It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Arcadia through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Arcadia’s own big snow morning: 4.3 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 14 miles away.
Wisconsin requires hours, not days: 437 for kindergarten, 1,050 for grades 1 to 6 and 1,137 for grades 7 to 12.
If a district offers make-up instruction virtually on a weather closure, those hours can count; the rule sets no cap on such days.
The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0
The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.
