The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Milan, measured against Milan's own big snow morning of 2.5 inches.
The next three school mornings
Will Milan close tomorrow?
Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Milan.
Ten winters of school mornings
Milan’s snow record
16.5inches of snow a winter
1.4school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more
0.4with 4 in or more
2.5 ina big snow morning in Milan: the top tenth of snowy school mornings
0.4Nov
1.8Dec
8Jan
4.1Feb
1.8Mar
Average snowfall by month, inches
Biggest day 12 in on January 13, 2019
Snowiest winter 2020 to 2021, 28.6 in
6 in mornings 0.3 a winter
1 in mornings 3.7 a winter
Measured at a NOAA weather station 6.8 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.
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The Indiana rule
How Indiana counts a lost day
Indiana requires at least 180 student instructional days a school year.
Every school in Milan follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.
High
Milan High School
Middle
Milan Middle School
Milan Intermediate School
Elementary
Milan Elementary School
Questions
Milan snow day questions
About 16.5 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 6.8 miles away, averaged over 7 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 1.4 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 0.4 with 4 inches or more.
12 inches on January 13, 2019, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 6.8 miles away in 7 winters. The snowiest winter was 2020 to 2021, with 28.6 inches.
It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Milan through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Milan’s own big snow morning: 2.5 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 6.8 miles away.
Indiana requires at least 180 student instructional days a school year.
Three school mornings, as far as the National Weather Service hourly forecast reaches. Weekends and breaks are skipped, so a Friday storm is read for Monday’s buses.
The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0
The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.