Northern Wells Community Schools Snow Day Predictor
The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Northern Wells, measured against Northern Wells's own big snow morning of 2 inches.
The next three school mornings
Will Northern Wells close tomorrow?
Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Ossian.
Ten winters of school mornings
Northern Wells’s snow record
11.6inches of snow a winter
0.9school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more
0.1with 4 in or more
2 ina big snow morning in Northern Wells: the top tenth of snowy school mornings
1.6Nov
1.5Dec
3.3Jan
3.6Feb
0.8Mar
Average snowfall by month, inches
Biggest day 5 in on January 13, 2019
Snowiest winter 2017 to 2018, 18.8 in
6 in mornings 0 a winter
1 in mornings 2.6 a winter
Measured at a NOAA weather station 2.6 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.
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The Indiana rule
How Indiana counts a lost day
Indiana requires at least 180 student instructional days a school year.
Every school in Northern Wells follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.
High
Norwell High School
Middle
Norwell Middle School
Elementary
Ossian Elementary
Lancaster Central School, Bluffton
Questions
Northern Wells snow day questions
About 11.6 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 2.6 miles away, averaged over 10 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 0.9 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 0.1 with 4 inches or more.
5 inches on January 13, 2019, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 2.6 miles away in 10 winters. The snowiest winter was 2017 to 2018, with 18.8 inches.
It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Ossian through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Northern Wells’s own big snow morning: 2 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 2.6 miles away.
Indiana requires at least 180 student instructional days a school year.
Three school mornings, as far as the National Weather Service hourly forecast reaches. Weekends and breaks are skipped, so a Friday storm is read for Monday’s buses.
The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0
The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.
