Warrenton, Virginia, 10,844 students in 19 schools

Fauquier County Public Schools Snow Day Predictor

Q: How much snow does Warrenton get?

About 10 inches a winter at a NOAA weather station 11 miles away, averaged over 10 winters. Between December 1 and March 31 that brings 1.7 weekday mornings a year with 2 inches of new snow or more, and 0.3 with 4 inches or more.

Q: What was the biggest snow day near Fauquier?

9 inches on February 12, 2025, the largest single day at a NOAA weather station 11 miles away in 10 winters. The snowiest winter was 2018 to 2019, with 21.3 inches.

Q: How does the Fauquier snow day predictor work?

It reads the National Weather Service forecast for Warrenton through the night and the 5 to 8 am bus run, adds winter alerts and the Winter Storm Severity Index, and measures the snow against Fauquier’s own big snow morning: 3.8 inches, the top tenth of snowy weekday mornings at a NOAA weather station 11 miles away.

Q: Can Virginia schools hold a remote day instead?

A division can declare an unscheduled remote learning day when weather closes buildings, up to 10 a year unless the state superintendent extends it, without losing state aid.

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Fauquier, measured against Fauquier's own big snow morning of 3.8 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will Fauquier close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Warrenton.

Ten winters of school mornings

Fauquier’s snow record

10inches of snow a winter

1.7school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more

0.3with 4 in or more

3.8 ina big snow morning in Fauquier: the top tenth of snowy school mornings

0.1Nov

1Dec

5.9Jan

2Feb

0.9Mar

Average snowfall by month, inches

Biggest day 9 in on February 12, 2025
Snowiest winter 2018 to 2019, 21.3 in
6 in mornings 0.2 a winter
1 in mornings 2.2 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 11 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

The Virginia rule

How Virginia counts a lost day

Virginia requires at least 180 teaching days or 990 teaching hours, or state aid is reduced. After 5 closures, only one of every two further days must be made up; the Board of Education can also waive make-up when every reasonable effort is exhausted.

The Virginia rules in the agency’s own words, and every Virginia district

Next door

Districts near Fauquier

District	Snow a winter	4 in mornings
Culpeper County Public SchoolsCulpeper	10 in	0.3
Manassas City Public SchoolsManassas	10.2 in	0.4
Manassas Park City Public SchoolsManassas Park	10.2 in	0.4
Prince William County Public SchoolsManassas	10.2 in	0.4
Warren County Public SchoolsFront Royal	6.9 in	0.3
Loudoun County Public SchoolsAshburn	12.1 in	0.8

The schools

19 schools

Every school in Fauquier follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

Liberty High, Bealeton
Kettle Run High, Nokesville
Fauquier High

Middle

Cedar Lee Middle, Bealeton
W.C. Taylor Middle
Auburn Middle
Marshall Middle, Marshall

Elementary

Margaret M. Pierce Elementary, Remington
C. Hunter Ritchie Elementary, New Baltimore
Grace Miller Elementary, Bealeton
James G. Brumfield Elementary
Greenville Elementary, Nokesville
P.B. Smith Elementary
Mary Walter Elementary, Bealeton
H.M. Pearson Elementary, Catlett
C.M. Bradley Elementary
W.G. Coleman Elementary, The Plains
Claude Thompson Elementary, Marshall

Other schools

Alternative Education Center, Midland

Questions

Fauquier snow day questions

How much snow does Warrenton get?

What was the biggest snow day near Fauquier?

How does the Fauquier snow day predictor work?

How does Virginia handle snow days?

Can Virginia schools hold a remote day instead?

More winter

More for Virginia snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.Virginia winter forecastThe season ahead for Virginia: snowfall, cold and the first snow.

A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle — The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.