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Winchester, Virginia, 14,172 students in 19 schools

Frederick County Public Schools Snow Day Predictor

The odds of a closing or a delay on the next three school mornings in Frederick, measured against Frederick's own big snow morning of 4 inches.

The next three school mornings

Will Frederick close tomorrow?

Reading the National Weather Service forecast for the overnight and the bus hours in Winchester.
Ten winters of school mornings

Frederick’s snow record

9.9inches of snow a winter
1.8school mornings a winter with 2 in of new snow or more
0.4with 4 in or more
4 ina big snow morning in Frederick: the top tenth of snowy school mornings
0.9school mornings a winter at 0 F or colder

More 4 inch school mornings than 50% of the 116 Virginia districts with a station record.

0.3Nov
0.8Dec
5Jan
2.2Feb
1.6Mar
Average snowfall by month, inches
  • Biggest day 7 in on December 17, 2020
  • Snowiest winter 2020 to 2021, 19.7 in
  • 6 in mornings 0.1 a winter
  • 1 in mornings 2.5 a winter

Measured at a NOAA weather station 6 miles away. Mornings are the 7 am snow reading on a weekday from December 1 through March 31, over the ten winters from 2016 to 2017 through 2025 to 2026, from NOAA GHCN Daily.

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The Virginia rule

How Virginia counts a lost day

Virginia requires at least 180 teaching days or 990 teaching hours, or state aid is reduced. After 5 closures, only one of every two further days must be made up; the Board of Education can also waive make-up when every reasonable effort is exhausted.

The Virginia rules in the agency’s own words, and every Virginia district

Next door

Districts near Frederick

DistrictSnow a winter4 in mornings
Winchester City Public SchoolsWinchester9.9 in0.4
Warren County Public SchoolsFront Royal6.9 in0.3
Shenandoah County Public SchoolsWoodstock14.3 in0.7
Loudoun County Public SchoolsAshburn12.1 in0.8
Fauquier County Public SchoolsWarrenton10 in0.3
Page County Public SchoolsLuray11.4 in0.9
The schools

19 schools

Every school in Frederick follows the district’s call: one closing covers them all.

High

  • Sherando High, Stephens City
  • Millbrook High
  • James Wood High

Middle

  • James Wood Middle
  • Admiral Richard E. Byrd Middle
  • Robert E. Aylor Middle, White Post
  • Frederick County Middle

Elementary

  • Bass-Hoover Elementary, Stephens City
  • Jordan Springs Elementary, Stephenson
  • Armel Elementary
  • Redbud Run Elementary
  • Middletown Elementary, Middletown
  • Greenwood Mill Elementary
  • Evendale Elementary
  • Gainesboro Elementary
  • Orchard View Elementary
  • Apple Pie Ridge Elementary
  • Stonewall Elementary, Clear Brook
  • Indian Hollow Elementary
Questions

Frederick snow day questions

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More winter

More for Virginia snow days

Snow day predictorClosing and delay odds for any ZIP, with the snowiest districts in the country.Snow depth mapHow much snow is on the ground right now, measured, across the country.First snow datesWhen the first measurable snow usually lands where you live.Frozen pipesThe nights cold enough to freeze a pipe, and what to do before one.Snow plow trackerWhere the plows are during a storm, city by city.Virginia winter forecastThe season ahead for Virginia: snowfall, cold and the first snow.
A residential street under deep snow on a bright blue morning, cars parked along the curb buried into smooth white mounds, one set of tire tracks down the middle
The morning after a big one: cars buried to the mirrors and one set of tracks down the middle. A street like this is a closing, no debate. Photo, Fairfax, Virginia, January 2016: Jarek Tuszyński, CC BY 4.0

The odds are a forecast read, and the superintendent makes the call: the district’s own announcement is the one to follow.