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White Christmas odds / Massachusetts

White Christmas 2026 in Massachusetts: The Odds, Town by Town

Massachusetts's best odds of a white Christmas are 73% at Ashfield, likely, and 35% at the typical station.

Massachusetts, at Blue Hill Coop

37%a long shot
Blue Hill Coop625 ftShare of Christmases with 1 inch or more on the ground, 1991 to 2020
  1. 20162016: bare
  2. 20172017: bare
  3. 20182018: bare
  4. 20192019: bare
  5. 20202020: bare
  6. 20212021: bare
  7. 20222022: bare
  8. 20232023: bare
  9. 20242024: 7 in
  10. 20252025: 1 in

1 inch or more bare no report

2 of the last 10 Christmases were white here.

Deeper snow: 23% for 3 inches or more, 17% for 5 inches or more.

Your own town in Massachusetts:

Photo: “Burns Avenue, Snow - Winter in St. Paul, Minnesota” by Tony Webster, CC BY 2.0

Massachusetts at a glance

Snow on the ground, Christmas morning
31
Stations in the data
NOAA normals, 1991 to 2020
73%
Best odds in the state
Ashfield, likely
35%
Typical station
the middle of the stations we track
9 in
Deepest recent Christmas
Groveland, 2017
Reference stations

Massachusetts odds, station by station

The odds of 1, 3 and 5 inches of snow on the ground on December 25, from the 1991 to 2020 NOAA normals, with how many of the last ten Christmases were white where the station reported.

White Christmas odds at Massachusetts reference stations
StationElevation1 inch+3 inch+5 inch+Last 10
Blue Hill Coopa long shot625 ft37%23%17%2 of 10
Edgartowna long shot30 ft12%6%2%1 of 10
Amhersta coin flip145 ft40%25%15%3 of 10
Ashburnhamlikely1,108 ft62%48%34%6 of 10
Grovelanda coin flip30 ft51%34%25%4 of 10
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Best bets

The best bets in Massachusetts

The highest and northernmost stations in Massachusetts have the best odds, and elevation does most of the work. The top four are Ashfield, Worthington, Ashburnham and Barre Falls Dam.

  1. 73%Ashfield1,340 ft, likely
  2. 69%Worthington1,285 ft, likely
  3. 62%Ashburnham1,108 ft, likely
  4. 54%Barre Falls Dam825 ft, a coin flip
A snow covered road in New Hampshire running between stands of pine and spruce under a clear blue sky
A snow packed road through the pines in New Hampshire. “Snow Covered Road in New Hampshire” by Kieran Hunt, CC BY-SA 4.0

Massachusetts white Christmas questions

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