The odds of 1, 3 and 5 inches of snow on the ground on December 25, from the 1991 to 2020 NOAA normals, with how many of the last ten Christmases were white where the station reported.
White Christmas odds at Hawaii reference stations
Station
Elevation
1 inch+
3 inch+
5 inch+
Last 10
Aiea Heightsalmost never
780 ft
0%
0%
0%
Haleakala Ranger Stationalmost never
6,962 ft
0%
0%
0%
Halepohakualmost never
9,260 ft
0%
0%
0%
Hawaii Volcanoes National Park HQalmost never
3,971 ft
0%
0%
0%
Kahoolawealmost never
1,200 ft
0%
0%
0%
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Within a drive
Where the odds are best near Hawaii
Hawaii almost never has a white Christmas at its weather stations; snow stays on the high summits of Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa. The ZIP lookup above gives the number for your own town.
Close to zero at most Hawaii stations. The best of the 60 we track is Aiea Heights at 0%, almost never. The typical station is 0%.
NOAA counts at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. The odds here are the share of years from 1991 to 2020 that met that.
Snow can fall on the high summits of Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa in winter. None of the Hawaii stations in the NOAA normals shows a white Christmas, so the odds at the beach, in town or on the slopes below the summits are near zero.
0% for 1 inch or more on the ground, 0% for 3 inches and 0% for 5 inches, at Aiea Heights (780 feet).
From December 10, the ZIP lookup adds a forecast of the snow on the ground Christmas morning. It shifts from day to day until the last few days.
