White Christmas 2026 in North Dakota: The Odds, Town by Town
North Dakota's best odds of a white Christmas are 96% at Langdon Experiment Farm, almost certain, and 81% at the typical station.
North Dakota, at Bismarck
- 20162016: 7.1 in
- 20172017: 2 in
- 20192019: 7.1 in
- 20212021: 2 in
- 20222022: 11.8 in
- 20242024: 1.2 in
- 20252025: 1 in
1 inch or more bare no report
7 of the last 10 Christmases were white here.
Deeper snow: 52% for 3 inches or more, 36% for 5 inches or more.
Your own town in North Dakota:
Photo: “Burns Avenue, Snow - Winter in St. Paul, Minnesota” by Tony Webster, CC BY 2.0
North Dakota at a glance
Snow on the ground, Christmas morningNorth Dakota odds, station by station
The odds of 1, 3 and 5 inches of snow on the ground on December 25, from the 1991 to 2020 NOAA normals, with how many of the last ten Christmases were white where the station reported.
| Station | Elevation | 1 inch+ | 3 inch+ | 5 inch+ | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bismarcklikely | 1,658 ft | 71% | 52% | 36% | 7 of 10 |
| Grand Forks International Airportlikely | 842 ft | 85% | 65% | 46% | 9 of 10 |
| Bowmanlikely | 2,983 ft | 67% | 40% | 29% | 4 of 10 |
| Cavalier 7NWlikely | 899 ft | 85% | 76% | 65% | 9 of 10 |
| Grassy Butte 2ENElikely | 2,670 ft | 70% | 53% | 37% | 8 of 10 |
The best bets in North Dakota
The highest and northernmost stations in North Dakota have the best odds, and elevation does most of the work. The top four are Langdon Experiment Farm, Edmore, Upham and Stanley.
- 96%Langdon Experiment Farm
- 94%Edmore 4NW
- 93%Upham 3 N
- 90%Stanley 3 NNW
