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White Christmas odds / Wisconsin

White Christmas 2026 in Wisconsin: The Odds, Town by Town

Wisconsin's best odds of a white Christmas are 97% at Lac Vieux Desert, almost certain, and 71% at the typical station.

Wisconsin, at Green Bay

61%likely
Green Bay682 ftShare of Christmases with 1 inch or more on the ground, 1991 to 2020
  1. 20162016: 9.8 in
  2. 20172017: 5.1 in
  3. 20182018: bare
  4. 20192019: bare
  5. 20202020: bare
  6. 20212021: bare
  7. 20222022: 5.9 in
  8. 20232023: bare
  9. 20242024: 3.1 in
  10. 20252025: 1 in

1 inch or more bare no report

5 of the last 10 Christmases were white here.

Deeper snow: 44% for 3 inches or more, 34% for 5 inches or more.

Your own town in Wisconsin:

Photo: “Burns Avenue, Snow - Winter in St. Paul, Minnesota” by Tony Webster, CC BY 2.0

Wisconsin at a glance

Snow on the ground, Christmas morning
60
Stations in the data
NOAA normals, 1991 to 2020
97%
Best odds in the state
Lac Vieux Desert, almost certain
71%
Typical station
the middle of the stations we track
36 in
Deepest recent Christmas
Hurley, 2022
Reference stations

Wisconsin odds, station by station

The odds of 1, 3 and 5 inches of snow on the ground on December 25, from the 1991 to 2020 NOAA normals, with how many of the last ten Christmases were white where the station reported.

White Christmas odds at Wisconsin reference stations
StationElevation1 inch+3 inch+5 inch+Last 10
Green Baylikely682 ft61%44%34%5 of 10
La Crosse Municipal Airportlikely652 ft64%40%28%5 of 10
Madison Dane Regional Airportlikely866 ft60%37%25%6 of 10
Milwaukee Mitchell Airporta coin flip670 ft43%25%16%4 of 10
Wausau Dwtn Airportlikely1,181 ft85%70%58%8 of 10
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Best bets

The best bets in Wisconsin

The highest and northernmost stations in Wisconsin have the best odds, and elevation does most of the work. The top four are Lac Vieux Desert, Hurley, Mellen and St. Germain.

  1. 97%Lac Vieux Desert1,760 ft, almost certain
  2. 96%Hurley1,444 ft, almost certain
  3. 95%Mellen 4 NE1,300 ft, almost certain
  4. 92%St. Germain1,643 ft, almost certain
A rolling hillside under a fresh blanket of snow with a stand of bare birch trees along the ridge in Minnesota
Birches on a snowy hillside in northern Minnesota. “Minnesota Winter-Hello” by *Micky, CC BY 2.0

Wisconsin white Christmas questions

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