White Christmas 2026 in Vermont: The Odds, Town by Town
Vermont's best odds of a white Christmas are 99% at Mount Mansfield, almost certain, and 80% at the typical station.
Vermont, at Burlington
- 20162016: 1.2 in
- 20172017: 7.1 in
- 20182018: 2 in
- 20212021: 3.9 in
- 20222022: 3.9 in
- 20242024: 3.1 in
- 20252025: 5 in
1 inch or more bare no report
7 of the last 10 Christmases were white here.
Deeper snow: 41% for 3 inches or more, 28% for 5 inches or more.
Your own town in Vermont:
Photo: “Burns Avenue, Snow - Winter in St. Paul, Minnesota” by Tony Webster, CC BY 2.0
Vermont at a glance
Snow on the ground, Christmas morningVermont odds, station by station
The odds of 1, 3 and 5 inches of snow on the ground on December 25, from the 1991 to 2020 NOAA normals, with how many of the last ten Christmases were white where the station reported.
| Station | Elevation | 1 inch+ | 3 inch+ | 5 inch+ | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burlington International Airportlikely | 330 ft | 62% | 41% | 28% | 7 of 10 |
| Island Pondalmost certain | 1,200 ft | 90% | 73% | 61% | 8 of 10 |
| Rutlandlikely | 620 ft | 65% | 43% | 27% | 8 of 10 |
| Saint Johnsburylikely | 700 ft | 82% | 62% | 47% | 8 of 10 |
| S Lincolnlikely | 1,341 ft | 77% | 57% | 44% | 6 of 8 |
The best bets in Vermont
The highest and northernmost stations in Vermont have the best odds, and elevation does most of the work. The top four are Mount Mansfield, Island Pond, Jeffersonville and Worcester.
- 99%Mount Mansfield
- 90%Island Pond
- 89%Jeffersonville
- 87%Worcester 2 W
