The odds of 1, 3 and 5 inches of snow on the ground on December 25, from the 1991 to 2020 NOAA normals, with how many of the last ten Christmases were white where the station reported.
White Christmas odds at Texas reference stations
Station
Elevation
1 inch+
3 inch+
5 inch+
Last 10
Amarillorare
3,587 ft
9%
4%
2%
0 of 10
Del Rio International Airportalmost never
999 ft
0%
0%
0%
0 of 10
Houston Intercontinental Airportalmost never
95 ft
0%
0%
0%
0 of 10
Lubbockrare
3,259 ft
5%
2%
1%
0 of 10
Abilene Regional Airportrare
1,790 ft
1%
0%
0%
0 of 10
Advertisement
Best bets
The best bets in Texas
The highest and northernmost stations in Texas have the best odds, and elevation does most of the work. The top four are Perryton, Friona, Amarillo and Lubbock.
It depends on where. The best station of the 60 we track is Perryton at 12%, a long shot, and the typical station is 0%. The ZIP lookup above gives your own number.
NOAA counts at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. The odds here are the share of years from 1991 to 2020 that met that.
At the highest and northernmost stations: Perryton (12%), Friona (10%) and Amarillo (9%). Elevation does most of the work, so a drive into the hills can change the odds a lot.
9% for 1 inch or more on the ground, 4% for 3 inches and 2% for 5 inches, at Amarillo (3,587 feet).
0 of the last 10 Christmases with a report had at least 1 inch of snow on the ground at Amarillo.
At Perryton, the odds of 5 inches or more are 5%. Most stations are lower; the state page table shows 1, 3 and 5 inch odds for each reference station.
From December 10, the ZIP lookup adds a forecast of the snow on the ground Christmas morning. It shifts from day to day until the last few days.
