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White Christmas odds / Pennsylvania

White Christmas 2026 in Pennsylvania: The Odds, Town by Town

Pennsylvania's best odds of a white Christmas are 64% at Bradford, likely, and 33% at the typical station.

Pennsylvania, at Middletown Harrisburg

17%a long shot
Middletown Harrisburg International Airport312 ftShare of Christmases with 1 inch or more on the ground, 1991 to 2020
  1. 20162016: bare
  2. 20172017: bare
  3. 20182018: bare
  4. 20192019: bare
  5. 20202020: bare
  6. 20212021: bare
  7. 20222022: bare
  8. 20232023: bare
  9. 20242024: bare
  10. 20252025: bare

1 inch or more bare no report

No white Christmas here in the last 10 years.

Deeper snow: 7% for 3 inches or more, 3% for 5 inches or more.

Your own town in Pennsylvania:

Photo: “Burns Avenue, Snow - Winter in St. Paul, Minnesota” by Tony Webster, CC BY 2.0

Pennsylvania at a glance

Snow on the ground, Christmas morning
60
Stations in the data
NOAA normals, 1991 to 2020
64%
Best odds in the state
Bradford, likely
33%
Typical station
the middle of the stations we track
10 in
Deepest recent Christmas
Springboro, 2020
Reference stations

Pennsylvania odds, station by station

The odds of 1, 3 and 5 inches of snow on the ground on December 25, from the 1991 to 2020 NOAA normals, with how many of the last ten Christmases were white where the station reported.

White Christmas odds at Pennsylvania reference stations
StationElevation1 inch+3 inch+5 inch+Last 10
Middletown Harrisburg International Airporta long shot312 ft17%7%3%0 of 10
Philadelphia International Airportrare10 ft9%4%2%0 of 10
Pittsburgh International Airporta long shot1,203 ft31%12%6%3 of 10
Erie International Airporta coin flip730 ft45%27%18%3 of 10
Allentown International Airporta long shot390 ft19%10%5%1 of 10
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Best bets

The best bets in Pennsylvania

The highest and northernmost stations in Pennsylvania have the best odds, and elevation does most of the work. The top four are Bradford, Titusville Wtr Wks, Glen Hazel and Springboro.

  1. 64%Bradford 4SW Research1,660 ft, likely
  2. 64%Titusville Wtr Wks1,220 ft, likely
  3. 60%Glen Hazel 2 NE Dam1,720 ft, likely
  4. 59%Springboro 3 WNW1,005 ft, a coin flip
A snow covered road in New Hampshire running between stands of pine and spruce under a clear blue sky
A snow packed road through the pines in New Hampshire. “Snow Covered Road in New Hampshire” by Kieran Hunt, CC BY-SA 4.0

Pennsylvania white Christmas questions

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