The odds of 1, 3 and 5 inches of snow on the ground on December 25, from the 1991 to 2020 NOAA normals, with how many of the last ten Christmases were white where the station reported.
White Christmas odds at Oklahoma reference stations
Station
Elevation
1 inch+
3 inch+
5 inch+
Last 10
Tulsa International Airportrare
650 ft
6%
2%
1%
0 of 10
Oklahoma City Will Rogers Airportrare
1,285 ft
5%
2%
1%
0 of 10
Battiestrare
822 ft
1%
0%
0%
0 of 10
Madillalmost never
770 ft
0%
0%
0%
0 of 10
Weatherfordrare
1,618 ft
4%
1%
1%
0 of 9
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Best bets
The best bets in Oklahoma
The highest and northernmost stations in Oklahoma have the best odds, and elevation does most of the work. The top four are Gate, Helena, Enid and Ralston.
It depends on where. The best station of the 60 we track is Gate at 17%, a long shot, and the typical station is 2%. The ZIP lookup above gives your own number.
NOAA counts at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. The odds here are the share of years from 1991 to 2020 that met that.
At the highest and northernmost stations: Gate (17%), Helena (11%) and Enid (10%). Elevation does most of the work, so a drive into the hills can change the odds a lot.
6% for 1 inch or more on the ground, 2% for 3 inches and 1% for 5 inches, at Tulsa International Airport (650 feet).
0 of the last 10 Christmases with a report had at least 1 inch of snow on the ground at Tulsa International Airport.
At Gate, the odds of 5 inches or more are 5%. Most stations are lower; the state page table shows 1, 3 and 5 inch odds for each reference station.
From December 10, the ZIP lookup adds a forecast of the snow on the ground Christmas morning. It shifts from day to day until the last few days.
