White Christmas 2026 in Rhode Island: The Odds, Town by Town

It depends on where. The best station of the 5 we track is N Foster at 43%, a coin flip, and the typical station is 21%. The ZIP lookup above gives your own number.

NOAA counts at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. The odds here are the share of years from 1991 to 2020 that met that.

At the highest and northernmost stations: N Foster (43%), Woonsocket (36%) and Kingston (21%). Elevation does most of the work, so a drive into the hills can change the odds a lot.

17% for 1 inch or more on the ground, 9% for 3 inches and 7% for 5 inches, at Providence T F Green Airport (60 feet).

1 of the last 10 Christmases with a report had at least 1 inch of snow on the ground at Providence T F Green Airport.

At N Foster, the odds of 5 inches or more are 21%. Most stations are lower; the state page table shows 1, 3 and 5 inch odds for each reference station.

N Foster had 3 inches on the ground on Christmas morning 2017, the deepest we see in the last 10 years.

From December 10, the ZIP lookup adds a forecast of the snow on the ground Christmas morning. It shifts from day to day until the last few days.