Skip to content
White Christmas odds / Tennessee

White Christmas 2026 in Tennessee: The Odds, Town by Town

Tennessee's best odds of a white Christmas are 12% at Crossville Ed & Research, a long shot, and 1% at the typical station.

Tennessee, at Bristol Tri City

6%rare
Bristol Tri City Airport1,500 ftShare of Christmases with 1 inch or more on the ground, 1991 to 2020
  1. 20162016: bare
  2. 20172017: bare
  3. 20182018: bare
  4. 20192019: bare
  5. 20202020: 3.1 in
  6. 20212021: bare
  7. 20222022: bare
  8. 20232023: bare
  9. 20242024: bare
  10. 20252025: bare

1 inch or more bare no report

1 of the last 10 Christmases were white here.

Deeper snow: 2% for 3 inches or more, 1% for 5 inches or more.

Your own town in Tennessee:

Photo: “Burns Avenue, Snow - Winter in St. Paul, Minnesota” by Tony Webster, CC BY 2.0

Tennessee at a glance

Snow on the ground, Christmas morning
60
Stations in the data
NOAA normals, 1991 to 2020
12%
Best odds in the state
Crossville Ed & Research, a long shot
1%
Typical station
the middle of the stations we track
6 in
Deepest recent Christmas
Tazewell, 2020
Reference stations

Tennessee odds, station by station

The odds of 1, 3 and 5 inches of snow on the ground on December 25, from the 1991 to 2020 NOAA normals, with how many of the last ten Christmases were white where the station reported.

White Christmas odds at Tennessee reference stations
StationElevation1 inch+3 inch+5 inch+Last 10
Bristol Tri City Airportrare1,500 ft6%2%1%1 of 10
Oak Ridge Atddrare905 ft3%1%0%0 of 7
Memphis International Airportrare254 ft1%0%0%0 of 10
Chattanooga Lovell Airportrare671 ft1%0%0 of 10
Nashville International Airportrare600 ft1%0%0 of 10
Advertisement
Best bets

The best bets in Tennessee

The highest and northernmost stations in Tennessee have the best odds, and elevation does most of the work. The top four are Crossville Ed & Research, Allardt, Tazewell and Bristol Tri City.

  1. 12%Crossville Ed & Research1,810 ft, a long shot
  2. 10%Allardt1,645 ft, a long shot
  3. 7%Tazewell1,365 ft, rare
  4. 6%Bristol Tri City Airport1,500 ft, rare
A rolling hillside under a fresh blanket of snow with a stand of bare birch trees along the ridge in Minnesota
Birches on a snowy hillside in northern Minnesota. “Minnesota Winter-Hello” by *Micky, CC BY 2.0

Tennessee white Christmas questions

Advertisement