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White Christmas odds / Oregon

White Christmas 2026 in Oregon: The Odds, Town by Town

Oregon's best odds of a white Christmas are 100% at Crater Lake Nps HQ, almost certain, and 3% at the typical station.

Oregon, at Pendleton

15%a long shot
Pendleton1,515 ftShare of Christmases with 1 inch or more on the ground, 1991 to 2020
  1. 20162016: 2 in
  2. 20172017: 7.1 in
  3. 20182018: bare
  4. 20192019: bare
  5. 20202020: bare
  6. 20212021: bare
  7. 20222022: 1.2 in
  8. 20232023: bare
  9. 20242024: bare
  10. 20252025: bare

1 inch or more bare no report

3 of the last 10 Christmases were white here.

Deeper snow: 7% for 3 inches or more, 5% for 5 inches or more.

Your own town in Oregon:

Photo: “Burns Avenue, Snow - Winter in St. Paul, Minnesota” by Tony Webster, CC BY 2.0

Oregon at a glance

Snow on the ground, Christmas morning
60
Stations in the data
NOAA normals, 1991 to 2020
100%
Best odds in the state
Crater Lake Nps HQ, almost certain
3%
Typical station
the middle of the stations we track
93 in
Deepest recent Christmas
Crater Lake Nps HQ, 2024
Reference stations

Oregon odds, station by station

The odds of 1, 3 and 5 inches of snow on the ground on December 25, from the 1991 to 2020 NOAA normals, with how many of the last ten Christmases were white where the station reported.

White Christmas odds at Oregon reference stations
StationElevation1 inch+3 inch+5 inch+Last 10
Pendletona long shot1,515 ft15%7%5%3 of 10
Portland International Airportrare19 ft4%2%1%1 of 10
Medford Rogue Valley Airportrare1,297 ft1%0%0 of 10
Crater Lake Nps HQalmost certain6,485 ft100%100%99%10 of 10
Government Campalmost certain3,980 ft95%91%85%8 of 9
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Best bets

The best bets in Oregon

The highest and northernmost stations in Oregon have the best odds, and elevation does most of the work. The top four are Crater Lake Nps HQ, Government Camp, Howard Prairie Dam and Halfway.

  1. 100%Crater Lake Nps HQ6,485 ft, almost certain
  2. 95%Government Camp3,980 ft, almost certain
  3. 93%Howard Prairie Dam4,567 ft, almost certain
  4. 77%Halfway2,653 ft, likely
A rolling hillside under a fresh blanket of snow with a stand of bare birch trees along the ridge in Minnesota
Birches on a snowy hillside in northern Minnesota. “Minnesota Winter-Hello” by *Micky, CC BY 2.0

Oregon white Christmas questions

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