White Christmas 2026 in South Dakota: The Odds, Town by Town
South Dakota's best odds of a white Christmas are 77% at Victor, likely, and 55% at the typical station.
South Dakota, at Aberdeen
- 20162016: 3.9 in
- 20192019: 7.1 in
- 20202020: 1.2 in
- 20222022: 7.9 in
- 20232023: 2 in
- 20242024: 1.2 in
1 inch or more bare no report
6 of the last 10 Christmases were white here.
Deeper snow: 43% for 3 inches or more, 29% for 5 inches or more.
Your own town in South Dakota:
Photo: “Burns Avenue, Snow - Winter in St. Paul, Minnesota” by Tony Webster, CC BY 2.0
South Dakota at a glance
Snow on the ground, Christmas morningSouth Dakota odds, station by station
The odds of 1, 3 and 5 inches of snow on the ground on December 25, from the 1991 to 2020 NOAA normals, with how many of the last ten Christmases were white where the station reported.
| Station | Elevation | 1 inch+ | 3 inch+ | 5 inch+ | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeenlikely | 1,302 ft | 64% | 43% | 29% | 6 of 10 |
| Huron Regional Airportlikely | 1,280 ft | 63% | 41% | 23% | 7 of 10 |
| Sioux Fallsa coin flip | 1,430 ft | 59% | 38% | 22% | 4 of 10 |
| Watertown Regional Airportlikely | 1,748 ft | 74% | 55% | 39% | 6 of 10 |
| Pierre Regional Airporta coin flip | 1,742 ft | 57% | 34% | 15% | 5 of 10 |
The best bets in South Dakota
The highest and northernmost stations in South Dakota have the best odds, and elevation does most of the work. The top four are Victor, Clear Lake, Lead and Waubay National Wild Life.
- 77%Victor 4 N
- 77%Clear Lake
- 75%Lead
- 75%Waubay National Wild Life
